Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demonsround 17 · SAT 23:15 AEST · UTAS Stadium
Margin modelNormal · σ 34
line 0
μ +26
78% home win · expected margin +26 · σ 34
Win probabilitymodel vs market
HAW (HOME)
78%
MEL (AWAY)
22%
No bookmaker line yet — odds and divergence land with TRACK-013.