Backtest /backtest
stats JUN 21 · 17:01 #1 Sign in
MODEL VALIDATIONas-of-round Elo replay · no look-ahead · §4 pass gate
The Normal margin model is replayed against the 2021–2025 seasons. For every match each side's Elo is reconstructed from results strictly BEFORE kickoff, then the frozen forecast is scored against the actual result with two-class Brier, the Ranked Probability Score and log-loss. Lower is better; the uniform 50/50 coin-flip is the floor a useful model must beat (Brier 0.500, RPS 0.250, log-loss 0.693). The pass gate: beat the uniform Brier in ≥4 of 5 seasons. A market comparison needs historical closing odds we don't yet hold — that overlay is a follow-up (n/a).
CROSS-SEASON VERDICT — §4 PASS GATE
PASS — the model beats the uniform 50/50 Brier in 5 of 5 seasons (gate ≥4).
pooled (match-weighted): Brier 0.410 · RPS 0.205 · log-loss 0.594
2021 AFL SEASON 204 matches scored PASS
BRIER (2-CLASS)
0.454
baseline 0.500
RPS
0.227
baseline 0.250
LOG-LOSS
0.645
baseline 0.693
MARKET BRIER
n/a
no historical odds feed
DATEMATCHSCOREP(H/A)BRIERRPSLOG-LOSS
2021-03-18 Richmond Tigers v Carlton Blues 105–80 91% / 9% 0.015 0.007 0.090
2021-03-19 Collingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs 53–69 59% / 41% 0.688 0.344 0.883
2021-03-20 Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats 103–91 22% / 78% 1.224 0.612 1.524
2021-03-20 Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans 94–125 82% / 18% 1.351 0.676 1.726
2021-03-20 Essendon Bombers v Hawthorn Hawks 91–92 59% / 41% 0.686 0.343 0.881
2021-03-20 Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers 80–58 62% / 38% 0.285 0.143 0.474
2021-03-21 GWS Giants v St Kilda Saints 78–86 55% / 45% 0.608 0.304 0.801
2021-03-21 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Port Adelaide Power 65–117 22% / 78% 0.095 0.047 0.245
2021-03-21 West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns 83–58 88% / 12% 0.027 0.014 0.124
2021-03-25 Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies 85–106 38% / 62% 0.289 0.144 0.478
2021-03-26 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 81–80 60% / 40% 0.320 0.160 0.510
2021-03-27 Gold Coast Suns v North Melbourne Kangaroos 98–39 50% / 50% 0.495 0.247 0.688
2021-03-27 Port Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers 119–65 82% / 18% 0.062 0.031 0.194
2021-03-27 St Kilda Saints v Melbourne Demons 73–91 61% / 39% 0.752 0.376 0.950
2021-03-27 Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows 121–88 63% / 37% 0.268 0.134 0.456
2021-03-28 Fremantle Dockers v GWS Giants 87–56 49% / 51% 0.519 0.260 0.712
2021-03-28 Hawthorn Hawks v Richmond Tigers 49–78 19% / 81% 0.073 0.036 0.212
2021-03-28 Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles 100–93 50% / 50% 0.504 0.252 0.697
2021-04-01 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 72–73 49% / 51% 0.482 0.241 0.675
2021-04-02 Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns 95–85 65% / 35% 0.243 0.121 0.428
2021-04-02 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Western Bulldogs 39–167 25% / 75% 0.130 0.065 0.294
2021-04-03 Essendon Bombers v St Kilda Saints 143–68 44% / 56% 0.624 0.312 0.818
2021-04-03 Richmond Tigers v Sydney Swans 72–117 87% / 13% 1.510 0.755 2.031
2021-04-03 West Coast Eagles v Port Adelaide Power 108–71 49% / 51% 0.518 0.259 0.711
2021-04-04 Carlton Blues v Fremantle Dockers 109–64 47% / 53% 0.557 0.279 0.751
2021-04-04 GWS Giants v Melbourne Demons 68–102 50% / 50% 0.497 0.248 0.690
2021-04-05 Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks 69–64 81% / 19% 0.071 0.035 0.208
2021-04-08 Sydney Swans v Essendon Bombers 83–80 65% / 35% 0.245 0.122 0.431
2021-04-09 Port Adelaide Power v Richmond Tigers 79–77 46% / 54% 0.590 0.295 0.783
2021-04-10 Collingwood Magpies v GWS Giants 60–90 68% / 32% 0.912 0.456 1.125
2021-04-10 Gold Coast Suns v Carlton Blues 59–70 45% / 55% 0.408 0.204 0.601
2021-04-10 St Kilda Saints v West Coast Eagles 102–82 38% / 62% 0.758 0.379 0.956
2021-04-10 Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions 73–54 53% / 47% 0.443 0.222 0.636
2021-04-11 Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks 96–81 56% / 44% 0.380 0.190 0.573
2021-04-11 Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats 85–60 42% / 58% 0.674 0.337 0.869
2021-04-11 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Adelaide Crows 68–109 45% / 55% 0.410 0.205 0.603
2021-04-15 St Kilda Saints v Richmond Tigers 48–134 32% / 68% 0.200 0.100 0.380
2021-04-16 West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies 103–76 68% / 32% 0.204 0.102 0.384
2021-04-17 Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers 102–45 76% / 24% 0.119 0.059 0.280
2021-04-17 Carlton Blues v Port Adelaide Power 68–96 28% / 72% 0.154 0.077 0.325
2021-04-17 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 69–71 63% / 37% 0.787 0.393 0.987
2021-04-17 Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast Suns 118–56 88% / 12% 0.030 0.015 0.131
2021-04-18 Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers 72–84 54% / 46% 0.582 0.291 0.775
2021-04-18 Geelong Cats v North Melbourne Kangaroos 77–47 90% / 10% 0.021 0.010 0.108
2021-04-18 Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons 54–104 37% / 63% 0.280 0.140 0.469
2021-04-23 GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs 65–104 42% / 58% 0.351 0.175 0.543
2021-04-24 Carlton Blues v Brisbane Lions 85–103 32% / 68% 0.200 0.100 0.381
2021-04-24 Fremantle Dockers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 99–48 76% / 24% 0.113 0.057 0.272
2021-04-24 Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles 136–39 60% / 40% 0.322 0.161 0.513
2021-04-24 Gold Coast Suns v Sydney Swans 100–60 31% / 69% 0.962 0.481 1.183
2021-04-24 Melbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers 82–48 39% / 61% 0.744 0.372 0.941
2021-04-25 Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers 85–109 65% / 35% 0.845 0.423 1.050
2021-04-25 Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows 102–99 57% / 43% 0.375 0.188 0.568
2021-04-25 Port Adelaide Power v St Kilda Saints 93–39 76% / 24% 0.114 0.057 0.273
2021-04-30 Richmond Tigers v Western Bulldogs 77–55 65% / 35% 0.246 0.123 0.432
2021-05-01 Adelaide Crows v GWS Giants 39–106 45% / 55% 0.412 0.206 0.605
2021-05-01 Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide Power 93–44 50% / 50% 0.493 0.247 0.687
2021-05-01 Collingwood Magpies v Gold Coast Suns 55–79 73% / 27% 1.073 0.537 1.319
2021-05-01 St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks 128–59 66% / 34% 0.235 0.118 0.420
2021-05-01 Sydney Swans v Geelong Cats 90–88 33% / 67% 0.889 0.445 1.099
2021-05-02 Essendon Bombers v Carlton Blues 107–123 64% / 36% 0.807 0.404 1.009
2021-05-02 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons 73–103 19% / 81% 0.070 0.035 0.208
2021-05-02 West Coast Eagles v Fremantle Dockers 132–73 71% / 29% 0.165 0.083 0.339
2021-05-07 Richmond Tigers v Geelong Cats 63–126 65% / 35% 0.843 0.421 1.047
2021-05-08 GWS Giants v Essendon Bombers 107–105 65% / 35% 0.245 0.122 0.430
2021-05-08 Gold Coast Suns v St Kilda Saints 54–63 39% / 61% 0.304 0.152 0.494
2021-05-08 Melbourne Demons v Sydney Swans 67–58 71% / 29% 0.163 0.082 0.336
2021-05-08 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Collingwood Magpies 76–94 36% / 64% 0.261 0.131 0.449
2021-05-08 Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows 87–38 86% / 14% 0.042 0.021 0.156
2021-05-09 Brisbane Lions v Fremantle Dockers 95–71 78% / 22% 0.093 0.047 0.243
2021-05-09 Hawthorn Hawks v West Coast Eagles 60–98 31% / 69% 0.196 0.098 0.376
2021-05-09 Western Bulldogs v Carlton Blues 107–91 78% / 22% 0.094 0.047 0.244
2021-05-14 St Kilda Saints v Geelong Cats 47–68 36% / 64% 0.264 0.132 0.452
2021-05-15 Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions 51–124 21% / 79% 0.092 0.046 0.241
2021-05-15 Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos 80–87 71% / 29% 1.010 0.505 1.240
2021-05-15 Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs 77–96 61% / 39% 0.735 0.367 0.931
2021-05-15 Richmond Tigers v GWS Giants 87–83 76% / 24% 0.118 0.059 0.279
2021-05-15 Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies 72–42 61% / 39% 0.302 0.151 0.492
2021-05-16 Essendon Bombers v Fremantle Dockers 68–61 54% / 46% 0.426 0.213 0.619
2021-05-16 Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues 94–68 80% / 20% 0.083 0.041 0.227
2021-05-16 West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows 106–76 83% / 17% 0.056 0.028 0.184
2021-05-21 Brisbane Lions v Richmond Tigers 102–74 55% / 45% 0.413 0.206 0.606
2021-05-22 Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons 96–95 24% / 76% 1.142 0.571 1.409
2021-05-22 Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks 86–63 63% / 37% 0.276 0.138 0.464
2021-05-22 Fremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans 86–84 48% / 52% 0.535 0.267 0.728
2021-05-22 Geelong Cats v Gold Coast Suns 91–57 90% / 10% 0.021 0.011 0.109
2021-05-22 Western Bulldogs v St Kilda Saints 144–33 73% / 27% 0.141 0.071 0.309
2021-05-23 Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power 58–59 33% / 67% 0.214 0.107 0.396
2021-05-23 Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 141–69 74% / 26% 0.132 0.066 0.297
2021-05-23 GWS Giants v West Coast Eagles 93–77 43% / 57% 0.660 0.330 0.855
2021-05-28 Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons 59–87 63% / 37% 0.794 0.397 0.994
2021-05-29 Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants 129–65 75% / 25% 0.129 0.064 0.293
2021-05-29 Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats 51–61 26% / 74% 0.131 0.065 0.296
2021-05-29 Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks 113–76 56% / 44% 0.389 0.194 0.581
2021-05-29 St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos 88–68 80% / 20% 0.079 0.039 0.222
2021-05-29 West Coast Eagles v Essendon Bombers 71–87 74% / 26% 1.082 0.541 1.330
2021-05-30 Port Adelaide Power v Fremantle Dockers 115–69 78% / 22% 0.098 0.049 0.250
2021-05-30 Richmond Tigers v Adelaide Crows 111–83 86% / 14% 0.042 0.021 0.156
2021-05-30 Sydney Swans v Carlton Blues 100–78 64% / 36% 0.256 0.128 0.443
2021-06-04 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 97–75 50% / 50% 0.507 0.254 0.701
2021-06-05 Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies 73–78 51% / 49% 0.520 0.260 0.713
2021-06-05 Essendon Bombers v Richmond Tigers 84–123 34% / 66% 0.229 0.114 0.413
2021-06-05 Sydney Swans v St Kilda Saints 92–83 58% / 42% 0.360 0.180 0.552
2021-06-06 Carlton Blues v West Coast Eagles 73–95 38% / 62% 0.282 0.141 0.471
2021-06-06 Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs 65–93 33% / 67% 0.219 0.110 0.402
2021-06-10 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 91–112 51% / 49% 0.512 0.256 0.705
2021-06-11 Sydney Swans v Hawthorn Hawks 51–89 78% / 22% 1.205 0.602 1.497
2021-06-12 Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns 76–49 65% / 35% 0.241 0.120 0.426
2021-06-12 St Kilda Saints v Adelaide Crows 60–66 71% / 29% 0.998 0.499 1.225
2021-06-13 West Coast Eagles v Richmond Tigers 85–81 45% / 55% 0.612 0.306 0.806
2021-06-14 Melbourne Demons v Collingwood Magpies 63–80 81% / 19% 1.302 0.651 1.645
2021-06-18 Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs 83–78 65% / 35% 0.240 0.120 0.426
2021-06-19 GWS Giants v Carlton Blues 102–66 69% / 31% 0.188 0.094 0.366
2021-06-19 Gold Coast Suns v Port Adelaide Power 31–81 24% / 76% 0.113 0.057 0.272
2021-06-19 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Brisbane Lions 45–68 14% / 86% 0.040 0.020 0.153
2021-06-20 Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers 73–86 44% / 56% 0.387 0.193 0.580
2021-06-24 Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats 94–50 51% / 49% 0.484 0.242 0.677
2021-06-25 Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints 22–62 79% / 21% 1.248 0.624 1.560
2021-06-26 Collingwood Magpies v Fremantle Dockers 79–91 60% / 40% 0.714 0.357 0.910
2021-06-26 Essendon Bombers v Melbourne Demons 57–68 39% / 61% 0.299 0.149 0.488
2021-06-26 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns 72–63 49% / 51% 0.527 0.264 0.721
2021-06-26 Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans 81–71 75% / 25% 0.125 0.063 0.288
2021-06-27 Carlton Blues v Adelaide Crows 83–73 57% / 43% 0.363 0.181 0.555
2021-06-27 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 72–90 76% / 24% 1.151 0.575 1.421
2021-06-27 West Coast Eagles v Western Bulldogs 43–98 52% / 48% 0.545 0.273 0.739
2021-07-01 Gold Coast Suns v Richmond Tigers 77–67 22% / 78% 1.211 0.606 1.506
2021-07-02 Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers 98–57 81% / 19% 0.069 0.034 0.205
2021-07-03 Adelaide Crows v Brisbane Lions 59–111 19% / 81% 0.075 0.037 0.215
2021-07-03 Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues 64–80 64% / 36% 0.825 0.412 1.028
2021-07-03 Hawthorn Hawks v Port Adelaide Power 53–87 26% / 74% 0.133 0.066 0.298
2021-07-03 Melbourne Demons v GWS Giants 55–64 74% / 26% 1.085 0.543 1.334
2021-07-04 Collingwood Magpies v St Kilda Saints 61–70 51% / 49% 0.518 0.259 0.711
2021-07-04 Sydney Swans v West Coast Eagles 118–26 44% / 56% 0.626 0.313 0.820
2021-07-04 Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne Kangaroos 108–79 91% / 9% 0.017 0.009 0.097
2021-07-08 Port Adelaide Power v Melbourne Demons 55–86 61% / 39% 0.756 0.378 0.954
2021-07-09 Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows 84–21 69% / 31% 0.198 0.099 0.378
2021-07-10 Brisbane Lions v St Kilda Saints 63–95 78% / 22% 1.230 0.615 1.534
2021-07-10 Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats 44–70 24% / 76% 0.116 0.058 0.275
2021-07-10 Hawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers 46–108 49% / 51% 0.471 0.235 0.664
2021-07-11 GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns 64–65 75% / 25% 1.139 0.570 1.405
2021-07-11 Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Magpies 71–87 75% / 25% 1.126 0.563 1.387
2021-07-11 Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans 60–79 74% / 26% 1.108 0.554 1.364
2021-07-12 West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos 60–70 83% / 17% 1.370 0.685 1.757
2021-07-15 Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats 31–100 27% / 73% 0.148 0.074 0.318
2021-07-16 Richmond Tigers v Brisbane Lions 106–86 44% / 56% 0.635 0.317 0.829
2021-07-17 Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs 79–90 26% / 74% 0.135 0.067 0.300
2021-07-17 St Kilda Saints v Port Adelaide Power 61–74 47% / 53% 0.445 0.223 0.638
2021-07-18 Adelaide Crows v West Coast Eagles 56–98 37% / 63% 0.280 0.140 0.469
2021-07-18 Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues 62–91 62% / 38% 0.764 0.382 0.963
2021-07-18 GWS Giants v Sydney Swans 72–98 52% / 48% 0.531 0.266 0.725
2021-07-18 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Essendon Bombers 74–92 37% / 63% 0.275 0.137 0.463
2021-07-23 Port Adelaide Power v Collingwood Magpies 97–69 79% / 21% 0.088 0.044 0.235
2021-07-24 Adelaide Crows v Hawthorn Hawks 102–83 54% / 46% 0.428 0.214 0.621
2021-07-24 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 120–71 85% / 15% 0.043 0.021 0.158
2021-07-24 Carlton Blues v North Melbourne Kangaroos 77–116 73% / 27% 1.061 0.530 1.303
2021-07-24 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 65–85 56% / 44% 0.619 0.309 0.812
2021-07-24 West Coast Eagles v St Kilda Saints 94–86 55% / 45% 0.397 0.199 0.590
2021-07-25 Essendon Bombers v GWS Giants 53–66 59% / 41% 0.688 0.344 0.883
2021-07-25 Geelong Cats v Richmond Tigers 95–57 72% / 28% 0.155 0.077 0.326
2021-07-25 Sydney Swans v Fremantle Dockers 98–58 69% / 31% 0.194 0.097 0.373
2021-07-30 St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues 81–112 69% / 31% 0.961 0.481 1.182
2021-07-31 Collingwood Magpies v West Coast Eagles 90–45 44% / 56% 0.636 0.318 0.829
2021-07-31 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Geelong Cats 42–62 15% / 85% 0.043 0.022 0.159
2021-07-31 Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows 105–56 87% / 13% 0.034 0.017 0.140
2021-08-01 Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans 102–109 45% / 55% 0.396 0.198 0.589
2021-08-01 Fremantle Dockers v Richmond Tigers 55–51 40% / 60% 0.723 0.361 0.919
2021-08-01 GWS Giants v Port Adelaide Power 73–100 38% / 62% 0.293 0.146 0.482
2021-08-01 Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons 30–128 27% / 73% 0.151 0.075 0.321
2021-08-01 Hawthorn Hawks v Brisbane Lions 92–80 21% / 79% 1.237 0.619 1.544
2021-08-06 Geelong Cats v GWS Giants 65–84 83% / 17% 1.387 0.693 1.788
2021-08-07 Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power 51–55 22% / 78% 0.093 0.047 0.243
2021-08-07 Carlton Blues v Gold Coast Suns 57–76 68% / 32% 0.917 0.459 1.131
2021-08-07 Richmond Tigers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 89–56 80% / 20% 0.076 0.038 0.217
2021-08-07 St Kilda Saints v Sydney Swans 93–64 45% / 55% 0.599 0.300 0.793
2021-08-08 Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions 54–118 37% / 63% 0.272 0.136 0.461
2021-08-08 Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies 97–78 46% / 54% 0.580 0.290 0.773
2021-08-08 Western Bulldogs v Essendon Bombers 84–97 79% / 21% 1.254 0.627 1.570
2021-08-09 West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons 63–72 43% / 57% 0.367 0.183 0.559
2021-08-13 GWS Giants v Richmond Tigers 106–67 51% / 49% 0.486 0.243 0.680
2021-08-14 Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies 142–57 79% / 21% 0.089 0.045 0.237
2021-08-14 Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints 85–71 78% / 22% 0.098 0.049 0.250
2021-08-14 Hawthorn Hawks v Western Bulldogs 64–37 28% / 72% 1.028 0.514 1.262
2021-08-14 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans 77–91 30% / 70% 0.182 0.091 0.359
2021-08-14 Port Adelaide Power v Carlton Blues 140–45 83% / 17% 0.061 0.030 0.191
2021-08-15 Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles 79–64 51% / 49% 0.482 0.241 0.675
2021-08-15 Gold Coast Suns v Essendon Bombers 30–98 43% / 57% 0.374 0.187 0.566
2021-08-15 Melbourne Demons v Adelaide Crows 104–63 85% / 15% 0.042 0.021 0.157
2021-08-20 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power 64–66 48% / 52% 0.469 0.235 0.662
2021-08-21 Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles 125–87 76% / 24% 0.114 0.057 0.272
2021-08-21 Carlton Blues v GWS Giants 75–89 41% / 59% 0.331 0.165 0.522
2021-08-21 Geelong Cats v Melbourne Demons 77–81 66% / 34% 0.865 0.432 1.071
2021-08-21 Sydney Swans v Gold Coast Suns 136–49 79% / 21% 0.087 0.043 0.233
2021-08-22 Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne Kangaroos 98–54 59% / 41% 0.339 0.169 0.530
2021-08-22 Essendon Bombers v Collingwood Magpies 102–64 66% / 34% 0.228 0.114 0.411
2021-08-22 St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers 107–49 62% / 38% 0.290 0.145 0.479
2021-08-27 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 86–43 56% / 44% 0.392 0.196 0.584
2021-08-28 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 93–60 57% / 43% 0.377 0.188 0.569
2021-08-28 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 73–74 59% / 41% 0.705 0.353 0.901
2021-08-29 Western Bulldogs v Essendon Bombers 85–36 65% / 35% 0.244 0.122 0.430
2021-09-03 Geelong Cats v GWS Giants 103–68 66% / 34% 0.225 0.112 0.408
2021-09-04 Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs 78–79 58% / 42% 0.666 0.333 0.860
2021-09-10 Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats 125–42 58% / 42% 0.352 0.176 0.544
2021-09-11 Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs 45–116 66% / 34% 0.880 0.440 1.088
2021-09-25 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 140–66 55% / 45% 0.408 0.204 0.601
2022 AFL SEASON 206 matches scored PASS
BRIER (2-CLASS)
0.394
baseline 0.500
RPS
0.197
baseline 0.250
LOG-LOSS
0.580
baseline 0.693
MARKET BRIER
n/a
no historical odds feed
DATEMATCHSCOREP(H/A)BRIERRPSLOG-LOSS
2022-03-16 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 97–71 70% / 30% 0.182 0.091 0.359
2022-03-17 Carlton Blues v Richmond Tigers 101–76 40% / 60% 0.722 0.361 0.919
2022-03-18 St Kilda Saints v Collingwood Magpies 85–102 70% / 30% 0.983 0.491 1.207
2022-03-19 Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide Power 80–69 49% / 51% 0.515 0.258 0.708
2022-03-19 GWS Giants v Sydney Swans 92–112 57% / 43% 0.643 0.322 0.837
2022-03-19 Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers 138–72 73% / 27% 0.143 0.072 0.312
2022-03-20 Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers 82–83 47% / 53% 0.433 0.217 0.626
2022-03-20 Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos 78–58 72% / 28% 0.160 0.080 0.332
2022-03-20 West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns 80–107 71% / 29% 0.999 0.499 1.227
2022-03-24 Western Bulldogs v Carlton Blues 90–102 80% / 20% 1.291 0.646 1.627
2022-03-25 Sydney Swans v Geelong Cats 107–77 47% / 53% 0.555 0.278 0.749
2022-03-26 Collingwood Magpies v Adelaide Crows 100–58 67% / 33% 0.214 0.107 0.396
2022-03-26 Essendon Bombers v Brisbane Lions 75–97 39% / 61% 0.311 0.156 0.501
2022-03-26 Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons 69–82 14% / 86% 0.041 0.020 0.154
2022-03-26 Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks 56–120 79% / 21% 1.246 0.623 1.557
2022-03-27 Fremantle Dockers v St Kilda Saints 55–65 51% / 49% 0.530 0.265 0.724
2022-03-27 North Melbourne Kangaroos v West Coast Eagles 74–59 40% / 60% 0.729 0.364 0.925
2022-03-27 Richmond Tigers v GWS Giants 109–73 54% / 46% 0.418 0.209 0.611
2022-03-31 Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans 71–60 59% / 41% 0.334 0.167 0.525
2022-04-01 Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power 96–92 26% / 74% 1.104 0.552 1.359
2022-04-01 Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers 99–70 87% / 13% 0.032 0.016 0.136
2022-04-02 Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne Kangaroos 156–48 87% / 13% 0.031 0.016 0.134
2022-04-02 Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats 91–104 36% / 64% 0.260 0.130 0.447
2022-04-02 GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns 83–57 72% / 28% 0.157 0.079 0.329
2022-04-03 Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks 74–73 53% / 47% 0.451 0.225 0.644
2022-04-03 St Kilda Saints v Richmond Tigers 117–84 55% / 45% 0.402 0.201 0.595
2022-04-03 West Coast Eagles v Fremantle Dockers 47–102 53% / 47% 0.569 0.284 0.762
2022-04-07 Port Adelaide Power v Melbourne Demons 36–68 32% / 68% 0.206 0.103 0.387
2022-04-08 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 80–70 56% / 44% 0.386 0.193 0.578
2022-04-09 Collingwood Magpies v West Coast Eagles 74–87 64% / 36% 0.814 0.407 1.016
2022-04-09 Fremantle Dockers v GWS Giants 88–54 51% / 49% 0.487 0.244 0.680
2022-04-09 Richmond Tigers v Western Bulldogs 99–61 42% / 58% 0.672 0.336 0.866
2022-04-09 Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos 86–75 84% / 16% 0.050 0.025 0.172
2022-04-10 Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows 103–99 69% / 31% 0.192 0.096 0.371
2022-04-10 Gold Coast Suns v Carlton Blues 92–62 44% / 56% 0.620 0.310 0.814
2022-04-10 Hawthorn Hawks v St Kilda Saints 73–142 49% / 51% 0.487 0.243 0.680
2022-04-14 Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies 98–91 79% / 21% 0.089 0.045 0.237
2022-04-15 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Western Bulldogs 71–139 24% / 76% 0.111 0.056 0.269
2022-04-15 West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans 58–121 35% / 65% 0.249 0.125 0.435
2022-04-16 Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers 101–82 34% / 66% 0.862 0.431 1.069
2022-04-16 Melbourne Demons v GWS Giants 120–53 87% / 13% 0.036 0.018 0.145
2022-04-16 St Kilda Saints v Gold Coast Suns 87–61 76% / 24% 0.118 0.059 0.279
2022-04-17 Carlton Blues v Port Adelaide Power 94–91 41% / 59% 0.693 0.346 0.888
2022-04-17 Essendon Bombers v Fremantle Dockers 59–107 55% / 45% 0.601 0.301 0.795
2022-04-18 Hawthorn Hawks v Geelong Cats 92–80 33% / 67% 0.899 0.450 1.110
2022-04-22 GWS Giants v St Kilda Saints 60–77 47% / 53% 0.441 0.221 0.634
2022-04-23 Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues 97–62 64% / 36% 0.266 0.133 0.454
2022-04-23 Port Adelaide Power v West Coast Eagles 117–33 74% / 26% 0.132 0.066 0.297
2022-04-23 Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows 62–63 81% / 19% 1.309 0.655 1.656
2022-04-24 Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions 80–132 28% / 72% 0.154 0.077 0.325
2022-04-24 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Geelong Cats 61–121 21% / 79% 0.086 0.043 0.232
2022-04-24 Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons 54–76 24% / 76% 0.111 0.056 0.269
2022-04-25 Essendon Bombers v Collingwood Magpies 82–93 61% / 39% 0.734 0.367 0.931
2022-04-25 Hawthorn Hawks v Sydney Swans 68–109 42% / 58% 0.348 0.174 0.540
2022-04-29 West Coast Eagles v Richmond Tigers 56–165 42% / 58% 0.349 0.175 0.541
2022-04-30 Adelaide Crows v GWS Giants 54–113 48% / 52% 0.467 0.234 0.660
2022-04-30 Carlton Blues v North Melbourne Kangaroos 114–64 73% / 27% 0.141 0.071 0.309
2022-04-30 Geelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers 66–69 68% / 32% 0.933 0.467 1.149
2022-04-30 Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks 91–81 89% / 11% 0.023 0.012 0.114
2022-04-30 St Kilda Saints v Port Adelaide Power 42–43 59% / 41% 0.707 0.353 0.902
2022-05-01 Collingwood Magpies v Gold Coast Suns 115–90 64% / 36% 0.255 0.128 0.442
2022-05-01 Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions 89–113 54% / 46% 0.584 0.292 0.777
2022-05-01 Western Bulldogs v Essendon Bombers 103–71 74% / 26% 0.130 0.065 0.295
2022-05-06 Fremantle Dockers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 102–24 84% / 16% 0.051 0.026 0.175
2022-05-06 Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs 86–69 55% / 45% 0.405 0.202 0.597
2022-05-07 Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles 105–30 86% / 14% 0.037 0.018 0.146
2022-05-07 Essendon Bombers v Hawthorn Hawks 108–81 52% / 48% 0.462 0.231 0.656
2022-05-07 GWS Giants v Geelong Cats 35–88 43% / 57% 0.369 0.184 0.561
2022-05-07 Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Magpies 113–86 66% / 34% 0.234 0.117 0.418
2022-05-07 Sydney Swans v Gold Coast Suns 61–75 82% / 18% 1.332 0.666 1.694
2022-05-08 Carlton Blues v Adelaide Crows 116–68 66% / 34% 0.237 0.119 0.422
2022-05-08 Melbourne Demons v St Kilda Saints 93–55 82% / 18% 0.065 0.033 0.200
2022-05-13 Collingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs 51–99 40% / 60% 0.319 0.159 0.509
2022-05-14 Adelaide Crows v Brisbane Lions 66–102 23% / 77% 0.102 0.051 0.256
2022-05-14 Hawthorn Hawks v Richmond Tigers 94–117 44% / 56% 0.391 0.196 0.584
2022-05-14 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Port Adelaide Power 46–115 21% / 79% 0.089 0.044 0.236
2022-05-14 St Kilda Saints v Geelong Cats 90–80 49% / 51% 0.523 0.261 0.716
2022-05-14 Sydney Swans v Essendon Bombers 105–47 71% / 29% 0.165 0.082 0.338
2022-05-15 GWS Giants v Carlton Blues 75–105 58% / 42% 0.666 0.333 0.860
2022-05-15 Gold Coast Suns v Fremantle Dockers 69–33 37% / 63% 0.805 0.402 1.006
2022-05-15 West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons 38–112 11% / 89% 0.023 0.011 0.113
2022-05-20 Carlton Blues v Sydney Swans 102–87 47% / 53% 0.571 0.285 0.764
2022-05-21 Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints 69–90 30% / 70% 0.186 0.093 0.364
2022-05-21 Geelong Cats v Port Adelaide Power 82–47 58% / 42% 0.359 0.180 0.551
2022-05-21 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons 53–100 7% / 93% 0.009 0.004 0.069
2022-05-21 Richmond Tigers v Essendon Bombers 80–48 72% / 28% 0.162 0.081 0.335
2022-05-21 Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast Suns 106–87 76% / 24% 0.119 0.060 0.280
2022-05-22 Fremantle Dockers v Collingwood Magpies 44–80 69% / 31% 0.949 0.475 1.167
2022-05-22 GWS Giants v West Coast Eagles 138–86 69% / 31% 0.197 0.098 0.376
2022-05-22 Hawthorn Hawks v Brisbane Lions 117–112 28% / 72% 1.049 0.524 1.288
2022-05-27 Sydney Swans v Richmond Tigers 106–100 56% / 44% 0.389 0.195 0.582
2022-05-28 Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants 110–96 77% / 23% 0.110 0.055 0.267
2022-05-28 Geelong Cats v Adelaide Crows 97–55 85% / 15% 0.046 0.023 0.165
2022-05-28 Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks 121–54 53% / 47% 0.441 0.220 0.634
2022-05-28 Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers 56–94 88% / 12% 1.548 0.774 2.119
2022-05-28 West Coast Eagles v Western Bulldogs 60–161 26% / 74% 0.139 0.069 0.305
2022-05-29 Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues 79–75 49% / 51% 0.515 0.257 0.708
2022-05-29 Port Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers 66–50 75% / 25% 0.120 0.060 0.281
2022-05-29 St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos 103–50 88% / 12% 0.031 0.016 0.133
2022-06-03 Western Bulldogs v Geelong Cats 70–83 54% / 46% 0.582 0.291 0.776
2022-06-04 Adelaide Crows v West Coast Eagles 88–57 59% / 41% 0.335 0.167 0.526
2022-06-04 Gold Coast Suns v North Melbourne Kangaroos 109–47 76% / 24% 0.112 0.056 0.271
2022-06-04 Melbourne Demons v Sydney Swans 61–73 79% / 21% 1.244 0.622 1.554
2022-06-05 Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions 99–85 42% / 58% 0.663 0.331 0.857
2022-06-05 Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies 68–72 51% / 49% 0.513 0.256 0.706
2022-06-09 Richmond Tigers v Port Adelaide Power 77–65 52% / 48% 0.458 0.229 0.651
2022-06-10 Essendon Bombers v Carlton Blues 54–80 46% / 54% 0.417 0.208 0.610
2022-06-11 Brisbane Lions v St Kilda Saints 78–57 61% / 39% 0.298 0.149 0.488
2022-06-11 Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks 95–82 74% / 26% 0.135 0.068 0.301
2022-06-12 North Melbourne Kangaroos v GWS Giants 53–102 32% / 68% 0.209 0.105 0.391
2022-06-13 Collingwood Magpies v Melbourne Demons 82–56 26% / 74% 1.091 0.546 1.342
2022-06-16 Richmond Tigers v Carlton Blues 81–66 63% / 37% 0.271 0.135 0.459
2022-06-17 St Kilda Saints v Essendon Bombers 72–107 77% / 23% 1.192 0.596 1.479
2022-06-18 GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs 105–125 42% / 58% 0.357 0.179 0.549
2022-06-18 Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans 82–59 54% / 46% 0.432 0.216 0.625
2022-06-18 West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats 63–81 19% / 81% 0.072 0.036 0.210
2022-06-19 Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Crows 116–73 67% / 33% 0.214 0.107 0.396
2022-06-23 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 117–53 65% / 35% 0.247 0.124 0.433
2022-06-24 West Coast Eagles v Essendon Bombers 107–97 42% / 58% 0.676 0.338 0.871
2022-06-24 Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks 125–83 79% / 21% 0.087 0.044 0.234
2022-06-25 Carlton Blues v Fremantle Dockers 81–50 49% / 51% 0.517 0.258 0.710
2022-06-25 Geelong Cats v Richmond Tigers 89–86 65% / 35% 0.239 0.119 0.424
2022-06-25 Sydney Swans v St Kilda Saints 83–32 62% / 38% 0.296 0.148 0.485
2022-06-26 Collingwood Magpies v GWS Giants 88–77 64% / 36% 0.262 0.131 0.449
2022-06-26 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Adelaide Crows 58–115 44% / 56% 0.389 0.195 0.582
2022-06-26 Port Adelaide Power v Gold Coast Suns 93–91 71% / 29% 0.167 0.083 0.341
2022-06-30 Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs 108–67 59% / 41% 0.343 0.171 0.534
2022-07-01 Carlton Blues v St Kilda Saints 78–93 57% / 43% 0.660 0.330 0.855
2022-07-02 Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons 65–94 17% / 83% 0.060 0.030 0.190
2022-07-02 Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans 95–86 34% / 66% 0.880 0.440 1.089
2022-07-02 Geelong Cats v North Melbourne Kangaroos 144–32 94% / 6% 0.008 0.004 0.066
2022-07-02 Gold Coast Suns v Collingwood Magpies 62–67 48% / 52% 0.468 0.234 0.662
2022-07-03 Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide Power 99–91 50% / 50% 0.504 0.252 0.697
2022-07-03 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 72–50 64% / 36% 0.265 0.132 0.452
2022-07-03 Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles 128–93 82% / 18% 0.062 0.031 0.194
2022-07-07 Geelong Cats v Melbourne Demons 91–63 49% / 51% 0.530 0.265 0.723
2022-07-08 Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs 120–67 55% / 45% 0.410 0.205 0.603
2022-07-09 Collingwood Magpies v North Melbourne Kangaroos 88–81 88% / 12% 0.031 0.015 0.132
2022-07-09 Gold Coast Suns v Richmond Tigers 94–92 41% / 59% 0.698 0.349 0.894
2022-07-09 Port Adelaide Power v GWS Giants 84–29 71% / 29% 0.172 0.086 0.347
2022-07-09 St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers 70–111 55% / 45% 0.600 0.300 0.794
2022-07-10 Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers 90–100 80% / 20% 1.277 0.638 1.604
2022-07-10 Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows 86–54 58% / 42% 0.348 0.174 0.540
2022-07-10 West Coast Eagles v Carlton Blues 53–116 35% / 65% 0.238 0.119 0.423
2022-07-15 Western Bulldogs v St Kilda Saints 84–56 63% / 37% 0.275 0.138 0.463
2022-07-16 Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies 86–91 33% / 67% 0.218 0.109 0.401
2022-07-16 Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats 55–85 36% / 64% 0.264 0.132 0.451
2022-07-16 Fremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans 65–82 55% / 45% 0.604 0.302 0.797
2022-07-16 GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions 59–99 36% / 64% 0.261 0.131 0.449
2022-07-16 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Richmond Tigers 92–88 19% / 81% 1.305 0.653 1.650
2022-07-17 Essendon Bombers v Gold Coast Suns 103–55 56% / 44% 0.387 0.194 0.580
2022-07-17 Hawthorn Hawks v West Coast Eagles 102–77 67% / 33% 0.217 0.109 0.400
2022-07-17 Melbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power 83–69 70% / 30% 0.178 0.089 0.354
2022-07-23 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 110–93 77% / 23% 0.102 0.051 0.256
2022-07-23 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Hawthorn Hawks 75–121 37% / 63% 0.280 0.140 0.469
2022-07-23 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 94–106 43% / 57% 0.364 0.182 0.557
2022-07-23 Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows 118–85 85% / 15% 0.045 0.023 0.163
2022-07-23 Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons 110–100 40% / 60% 0.715 0.358 0.911
2022-07-24 Carlton Blues v GWS Giants 90–54 66% / 34% 0.238 0.119 0.423
2022-07-24 Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers 80–76 65% / 35% 0.243 0.121 0.429
2022-07-24 West Coast Eagles v St Kilda Saints 62–90 32% / 68% 0.206 0.103 0.388
2022-07-29 Fremantle Dockers v Melbourne Demons 39–85 41% / 59% 0.329 0.164 0.520
2022-07-30 Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues 84–55 34% / 66% 0.868 0.434 1.075
2022-07-30 Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power 88–82 55% / 45% 0.398 0.199 0.590
2022-07-30 Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs 94–66 69% / 31% 0.188 0.094 0.366
2022-07-30 St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks 75–63 67% / 33% 0.212 0.106 0.394
2022-07-30 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 112–39 79% / 21% 0.090 0.045 0.239
2022-07-31 Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 114–66 82% / 18% 0.066 0.033 0.201
2022-07-31 Gold Coast Suns v West Coast Eagles 107–104 74% / 26% 0.137 0.069 0.304
2022-07-31 Richmond Tigers v Brisbane Lions 104–97 44% / 56% 0.626 0.313 0.820
2022-08-05 Melbourne Demons v Collingwood Magpies 89–96 72% / 28% 1.050 0.525 1.290
2022-08-06 GWS Giants v Essendon Bombers 96–69 49% / 51% 0.528 0.264 0.721
2022-08-06 Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints 110–65 79% / 21% 0.090 0.045 0.238
2022-08-06 Hawthorn Hawks v Gold Coast Suns 70–63 53% / 47% 0.443 0.221 0.636
2022-08-06 Port Adelaide Power v Richmond Tigers 71–109 58% / 42% 0.664 0.332 0.859
2022-08-06 Western Bulldogs v Fremantle Dockers 78–95 62% / 38% 0.778 0.389 0.977
2022-08-07 Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues 114–81 71% / 29% 0.164 0.082 0.337
2022-08-07 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans 88–126 14% / 86% 0.040 0.020 0.152
2022-08-07 West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows 86–102 46% / 54% 0.428 0.214 0.621
2022-08-12 St Kilda Saints v Brisbane Lions 66–81 43% / 57% 0.365 0.183 0.558
2022-08-13 Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne Kangaroos 103–74 74% / 26% 0.131 0.065 0.295
2022-08-13 Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles 71–47 87% / 13% 0.035 0.017 0.142
2022-08-13 Gold Coast Suns v Geelong Cats 59–119 22% / 78% 0.097 0.049 0.249
2022-08-13 Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues 79–74 79% / 21% 0.085 0.043 0.232
2022-08-13 Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants 62–57 72% / 28% 0.153 0.076 0.323
2022-08-14 Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power 62–146 47% / 53% 0.446 0.223 0.640
2022-08-14 Richmond Tigers v Hawthorn Hawks 128–67 74% / 26% 0.136 0.068 0.302
2022-08-14 Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies 77–50 61% / 39% 0.302 0.151 0.492
2022-08-19 Brisbane Lions v Melbourne Demons 57–115 50% / 50% 0.509 0.255 0.703
2022-08-20 Essendon Bombers v Richmond Tigers 75–141 37% / 63% 0.281 0.141 0.470
2022-08-20 GWS Giants v Fremantle Dockers 69–89 39% / 61% 0.303 0.152 0.493
2022-08-20 Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles 131–46 95% / 5% 0.005 0.002 0.051
2022-08-20 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns 47–114 32% / 68% 0.207 0.104 0.389
2022-08-20 Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows 111–55 76% / 24% 0.120 0.060 0.281
2022-08-21 Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies 74–75 44% / 56% 0.381 0.191 0.574
2022-08-21 Hawthorn Hawks v Western Bulldogs 64–87 37% / 63% 0.275 0.137 0.463
2022-08-21 St Kilda Saints v Sydney Swans 74–88 39% / 61% 0.298 0.149 0.488
2022-09-01 Brisbane Lions v Richmond Tigers 106–104 58% / 42% 0.347 0.173 0.539
2022-09-02 Melbourne Demons v Sydney Swans 69–91 64% / 36% 0.808 0.404 1.010
2022-09-03 Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs 73–60 57% / 43% 0.378 0.189 0.571
2022-09-03 Geelong Cats v Collingwood Magpies 78–72 74% / 26% 0.140 0.070 0.307
2022-09-09 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 79–92 62% / 38% 0.775 0.387 0.974
2022-09-10 Collingwood Magpies v Fremantle Dockers 79–59 53% / 47% 0.441 0.220 0.634
2022-09-16 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 120–49 67% / 33% 0.220 0.110 0.403
2022-09-17 Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies 95–94 67% / 33% 0.222 0.111 0.405
2022-09-24 Geelong Cats v Sydney Swans 133–52 59% / 41% 0.341 0.170 0.532
2023 AFL SEASON 214 matches scored PASS
BRIER (2-CLASS)
0.419
baseline 0.500
RPS
0.210
baseline 0.250
LOG-LOSS
0.608
baseline 0.693
MARKET BRIER
n/a
no historical odds feed
DATEMATCHSCOREP(H/A)BRIERRPSLOG-LOSS
2023-03-17 Geelong Cats v Collingwood Magpies 103–125 80% / 20% 1.281 0.640 1.611
2023-03-18 Gold Coast Suns v Sydney Swans 61–110 28% / 72% 0.156 0.078 0.328
2023-03-18 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 115–65 67% / 33% 0.213 0.106 0.395
2023-03-18 North Melbourne Kangaroos v West Coast Eagles 87–82 50% / 50% 0.504 0.252 0.697
2023-03-18 Port Adelaide Power v Brisbane Lions 126–72 48% / 52% 0.536 0.268 0.729
2023-03-19 GWS Giants v Adelaide Crows 106–90 61% / 39% 0.301 0.150 0.491
2023-03-19 Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers 65–124 55% / 45% 0.616 0.308 0.810
2023-03-19 St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers 67–52 46% / 54% 0.587 0.293 0.780
2023-03-23 Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats 90–82 22% / 78% 1.227 0.614 1.530
2023-03-24 Brisbane Lions v Melbourne Demons 93–82 50% / 50% 0.507 0.253 0.700
2023-03-25 Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers 76–108 31% / 69% 0.196 0.098 0.376
2023-03-25 Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power 135–64 61% / 39% 0.304 0.152 0.494
2023-03-25 Fremantle Dockers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 72–73 89% / 11% 1.581 0.791 2.200
2023-03-25 Western Bulldogs v St Kilda Saints 41–92 61% / 39% 0.748 0.374 0.945
2023-03-26 Essendon Bombers v Gold Coast Suns 108–80 59% / 41% 0.334 0.167 0.525
2023-03-26 Sydney Swans v Hawthorn Hawks 118–37 87% / 13% 0.033 0.017 0.138
2023-03-26 West Coast Eagles v GWS Giants 100–81 34% / 66% 0.860 0.430 1.066
2023-03-30 Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions 67–53 43% / 57% 0.642 0.321 0.836
2023-03-31 Collingwood Magpies v Richmond Tigers 63–49 65% / 35% 0.251 0.126 0.438
2023-04-01 GWS Giants v Carlton Blues 64–74 45% / 55% 0.401 0.201 0.594
2023-04-01 Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos 80–61 71% / 29% 0.164 0.082 0.337
2023-04-01 Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows 86–117 80% / 20% 1.287 0.644 1.621
2023-04-01 St Kilda Saints v Essendon Bombers 92–74 67% / 33% 0.224 0.112 0.407
2023-04-02 Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles 108–67 84% / 16% 0.053 0.027 0.178
2023-04-02 Gold Coast Suns v Geelong Cats 73–54 18% / 82% 1.332 0.666 1.693
2023-04-02 Melbourne Demons v Sydney Swans 134–84 52% / 48% 0.468 0.234 0.661
2023-04-06 Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies 116–83 49% / 51% 0.510 0.255 0.703
2023-04-07 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Carlton Blues 84–107 25% / 75% 0.122 0.061 0.284
2023-04-08 Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers 111–72 39% / 61% 0.744 0.372 0.942
2023-04-08 Richmond Tigers v Western Bulldogs 84–89 61% / 39% 0.751 0.375 0.948
2023-04-08 St Kilda Saints v Gold Coast Suns 113–60 70% / 30% 0.180 0.090 0.357
2023-04-08 Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide Power 64–66 71% / 29% 1.020 0.510 1.253
2023-04-09 Essendon Bombers v GWS Giants 88–75 64% / 36% 0.260 0.130 0.447
2023-04-09 West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons 63–126 14% / 86% 0.038 0.019 0.149
2023-04-10 Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks 127–45 89% / 11% 0.025 0.012 0.118
2023-04-13 Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues 118–62 45% / 55% 0.597 0.298 0.790
2023-04-14 Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns 100–90 66% / 34% 0.227 0.114 0.411
2023-04-14 Richmond Tigers v Sydney Swans 78–122 46% / 54% 0.426 0.213 0.619
2023-04-15 Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne Kangaroos 152–77 92% / 8% 0.013 0.006 0.083
2023-04-15 Essendon Bombers v Melbourne Demons 104–77 31% / 69% 0.956 0.478 1.176
2023-04-15 Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs 70–56 57% / 43% 0.369 0.184 0.561
2023-04-16 Collingwood Magpies v St Kilda Saints 70–64 65% / 35% 0.238 0.119 0.424
2023-04-16 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 77–75 57% / 43% 0.371 0.186 0.564
2023-04-16 Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles 136–89 94% / 6% 0.006 0.003 0.057
2023-04-21 Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs 69–118 54% / 46% 0.580 0.290 0.774
2023-04-22 GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions 87–108 28% / 72% 0.159 0.080 0.332
2023-04-22 Geelong Cats v Sydney Swans 130–37 64% / 36% 0.257 0.128 0.444
2023-04-22 Port Adelaide Power v West Coast Eagles 109–69 87% / 13% 0.032 0.016 0.136
2023-04-23 Carlton Blues v St Kilda Saints 60–82 48% / 52% 0.464 0.232 0.657
2023-04-23 Gold Coast Suns v North Melbourne Kangaroos 97–54 78% / 22% 0.100 0.050 0.253
2023-04-23 Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows 76–79 46% / 54% 0.415 0.208 0.608
2023-04-24 Melbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers 96–78 69% / 31% 0.189 0.094 0.367
2023-04-25 Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers 90–77 75% / 25% 0.130 0.065 0.294
2023-04-28 St Kilda Saints v Port Adelaide Power 76–83 56% / 44% 0.635 0.317 0.829
2023-04-29 Brisbane Lions v Fremantle Dockers 115–67 73% / 27% 0.141 0.071 0.309
2023-04-29 Melbourne Demons v North Melbourne Kangaroos 139–49 94% / 6% 0.008 0.004 0.065
2023-04-29 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 106–107 84% / 16% 1.398 0.699 1.809
2023-04-29 West Coast Eagles v Carlton Blues 44–152 31% / 69% 0.198 0.099 0.378
2023-04-29 Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks 94–65 80% / 20% 0.082 0.041 0.226
2023-04-30 Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies 58–59 34% / 66% 0.229 0.114 0.413
2023-04-30 Essendon Bombers v Geelong Cats 104–132 26% / 74% 0.139 0.070 0.306
2023-04-30 Richmond Tigers v Gold Coast Suns 48–72 69% / 31% 0.950 0.475 1.168
2023-05-05 Carlton Blues v Brisbane Lions 74–100 37% / 63% 0.269 0.135 0.457
2023-05-06 Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks 117–48 72% / 28% 0.154 0.077 0.325
2023-05-06 GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs 71–86 37% / 63% 0.267 0.133 0.454
2023-05-06 Geelong Cats v Adelaide Crows 98–72 86% / 14% 0.040 0.020 0.152
2023-05-06 Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons 85–90 32% / 68% 0.208 0.104 0.390
2023-05-06 Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles 104–58 83% / 17% 0.056 0.028 0.184
2023-05-07 Collingwood Magpies v Sydney Swans 77–48 62% / 38% 0.284 0.142 0.473
2023-05-07 North Melbourne Kangaroos v St Kilda Saints 34–64 19% / 81% 0.071 0.036 0.209
2023-05-07 Port Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers 92–87 70% / 30% 0.176 0.088 0.352
2023-05-12 Richmond Tigers v Geelong Cats 102–78 27% / 73% 1.057 0.529 1.299
2023-05-12 West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns 43–113 32% / 68% 0.203 0.102 0.384
2023-05-13 Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers 87–45 78% / 22% 0.100 0.050 0.253
2023-05-13 Carlton Blues v Western Bulldogs 59–79 43% / 57% 0.374 0.187 0.567
2023-05-13 Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons 49–103 20% / 80% 0.078 0.039 0.219
2023-05-13 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Port Adelaide Power 65–135 15% / 85% 0.045 0.022 0.162
2023-05-13 Sydney Swans v Fremantle Dockers 86–103 69% / 31% 0.965 0.483 1.186
2023-05-14 Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints 121–69 44% / 56% 0.628 0.314 0.822
2023-05-14 Collingwood Magpies v GWS Giants 120–55 85% / 15% 0.043 0.022 0.159
2023-05-19 Port Adelaide Power v Melbourne Demons 80–76 49% / 51% 0.517 0.258 0.710
2023-05-20 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 107–64 79% / 21% 0.084 0.042 0.229
2023-05-20 Essendon Bombers v Richmond Tigers 71–70 48% / 52% 0.550 0.275 0.743
2023-05-20 Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats 106–77 33% / 67% 0.911 0.456 1.124
2023-05-20 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans 90–93 17% / 83% 0.055 0.028 0.182
2023-05-20 Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows 85–40 69% / 31% 0.186 0.093 0.364
2023-05-21 Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies 57–85 30% / 70% 0.178 0.089 0.355
2023-05-21 GWS Giants v St Kilda Saints 80–92 40% / 60% 0.317 0.159 0.508
2023-05-21 Hawthorn Hawks v West Coast Eagles 142–26 69% / 31% 0.196 0.098 0.376
2023-05-26 Sydney Swans v Carlton Blues 77–51 72% / 28% 0.161 0.081 0.334
2023-05-27 Geelong Cats v GWS Giants 74–81 87% / 13% 1.520 0.760 2.054
2023-05-27 Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs 84–77 38% / 62% 0.780 0.390 0.980
2023-05-27 Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers 72–79 69% / 31% 0.940 0.470 1.157
2023-05-27 St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks 78–88 78% / 22% 1.219 0.609 1.517
2023-05-27 West Coast Eagles v Essendon Bombers 46–96 25% / 75% 0.128 0.064 0.292
2023-05-28 Adelaide Crows v Brisbane Lions 95–78 33% / 67% 0.908 0.454 1.121
2023-05-28 Collingwood Magpies v North Melbourne Kangaroos 105–70 95% / 5% 0.004 0.002 0.047
2023-05-28 Richmond Tigers v Port Adelaide Power 67–77 44% / 56% 0.395 0.198 0.588
2023-06-02 Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues 61–44 78% / 22% 0.098 0.049 0.251
2023-06-03 Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Crows 112–87 53% / 47% 0.437 0.219 0.630
2023-06-03 Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks 151–96 84% / 16% 0.053 0.026 0.177
2023-06-03 West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies 57–120 9% / 91% 0.015 0.008 0.091
2023-06-03 Western Bulldogs v Geelong Cats 75–97 48% / 52% 0.455 0.227 0.648
2023-06-04 Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 105–99 85% / 15% 0.044 0.022 0.160
2023-06-04 GWS Giants v Richmond Tigers 104–110 44% / 56% 0.393 0.197 0.586
2023-06-08 Sydney Swans v St Kilda Saints 66–80 66% / 34% 0.866 0.433 1.073
2023-06-09 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power 85–107 48% / 52% 0.465 0.233 0.658
2023-06-10 Adelaide Crows v West Coast Eagles 174–52 85% / 15% 0.043 0.021 0.158
2023-06-10 Fremantle Dockers v Richmond Tigers 70–85 63% / 37% 0.801 0.401 1.002
2023-06-10 Hawthorn Hawks v Brisbane Lions 98–73 24% / 76% 1.145 0.573 1.413
2023-06-11 Carlton Blues v Essendon Bombers 52–86 50% / 50% 0.501 0.251 0.694
2023-06-11 North Melbourne Kangaroos v GWS Giants 75–103 33% / 67% 0.221 0.110 0.404
2023-06-12 Melbourne Demons v Collingwood Magpies 66–62 50% / 50% 0.507 0.253 0.700
2023-06-15 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 110–72 54% / 46% 0.416 0.208 0.609
2023-06-16 Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans 97–81 63% / 37% 0.279 0.139 0.467
2023-06-17 GWS Giants v Fremantle Dockers 106–36 39% / 61% 0.743 0.371 0.940
2023-06-17 Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints 90–70 58% / 42% 0.357 0.178 0.549
2023-06-18 Carlton Blues v Gold Coast Suns 120–61 47% / 53% 0.561 0.281 0.755
2023-06-18 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Western Bulldogs 84–105 17% / 83% 0.058 0.029 0.187
2023-06-22 Geelong Cats v Melbourne Demons 78–63 57% / 43% 0.366 0.183 0.559
2023-06-23 St Kilda Saints v Brisbane Lions 56–84 44% / 56% 0.383 0.192 0.576
2023-06-24 Fremantle Dockers v Essendon Bombers 93–61 58% / 42% 0.361 0.180 0.553
2023-06-24 Sydney Swans v West Coast Eagles 205–34 90% / 10% 0.020 0.010 0.104
2023-06-25 Collingwood Magpies v Adelaide Crows 82–80 78% / 22% 0.099 0.049 0.251
2023-06-25 Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks 101–34 64% / 36% 0.258 0.129 0.444
2023-06-29 Brisbane Lions v Richmond Tigers 134–53 66% / 34% 0.225 0.113 0.409
2023-07-01 Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne Kangaroos 138–72 86% / 14% 0.038 0.019 0.148
2023-07-01 Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power 74–78 34% / 66% 0.229 0.115 0.413
2023-07-01 Gold Coast Suns v Collingwood Magpies 42–120 32% / 68% 0.210 0.105 0.391
2023-07-01 Western Bulldogs v Fremantle Dockers 102–73 60% / 40% 0.323 0.161 0.514
2023-07-02 Hawthorn Hawks v Carlton Blues 52–112 49% / 51% 0.487 0.244 0.680
2023-07-02 Melbourne Demons v GWS Giants 45–47 78% / 22% 1.215 0.608 1.512
2023-07-02 West Coast Eagles v St Kilda Saints 77–85 21% / 79% 0.087 0.044 0.234
2023-07-06 Richmond Tigers v Sydney Swans 88–75 55% / 45% 0.410 0.205 0.603
2023-07-07 Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies 77–89 42% / 58% 0.349 0.174 0.541
2023-07-08 Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles 116–35 95% / 5% 0.005 0.002 0.051
2023-07-08 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 85–72 69% / 31% 0.187 0.094 0.365
2023-07-08 Port Adelaide Power v Gold Coast Suns 106–73 80% / 20% 0.078 0.039 0.220
2023-07-08 St Kilda Saints v Melbourne Demons 58–79 44% / 56% 0.383 0.192 0.576
2023-07-09 Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows 115–97 56% / 44% 0.386 0.193 0.579
2023-07-09 Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues 45–98 63% / 37% 0.786 0.393 0.986
2023-07-09 Geelong Cats v North Melbourne Kangaroos 125–63 95% / 5% 0.004 0.002 0.048
2023-07-13 Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs 78–76 54% / 46% 0.415 0.207 0.608
2023-07-14 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 105–104 53% / 47% 0.444 0.222 0.637
2023-07-15 Adelaide Crows v GWS Giants 57–71 56% / 44% 0.632 0.316 0.826
2023-07-15 Carlton Blues v Port Adelaide Power 122–72 33% / 67% 0.887 0.444 1.097
2023-07-15 Collingwood Magpies v Fremantle Dockers 113–67 81% / 19% 0.074 0.037 0.213
2023-07-15 Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers 122–45 76% / 24% 0.117 0.059 0.277
2023-07-15 Gold Coast Suns v St Kilda Saints 77–51 53% / 47% 0.443 0.222 0.637
2023-07-16 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Hawthorn Hawks 40–88 36% / 64% 0.264 0.132 0.451
2023-07-16 West Coast Eagles v Richmond Tigers 60–98 16% / 84% 0.051 0.026 0.174
2023-07-21 Essendon Bombers v Western Bulldogs 49–90 49% / 51% 0.486 0.243 0.679
2023-07-22 Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats 64–53 53% / 47% 0.445 0.222 0.638
2023-07-22 Carlton Blues v West Coast Eagles 140–69 90% / 10% 0.020 0.010 0.105
2023-07-22 Fremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans 76–105 47% / 53% 0.443 0.221 0.636
2023-07-22 Port Adelaide Power v Collingwood Magpies 83–85 49% / 51% 0.489 0.244 0.682
2023-07-22 Richmond Tigers v Hawthorn Hawks 96–95 79% / 21% 0.092 0.046 0.242
2023-07-23 GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns 103–63 59% / 41% 0.344 0.172 0.536
2023-07-23 Melbourne Demons v Adelaide Crows 97–93 78% / 22% 0.100 0.050 0.253
2023-07-23 St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos 69–61 87% / 13% 0.035 0.017 0.141
2023-07-28 Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues 76–93 78% / 22% 1.202 0.601 1.493
2023-07-29 Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power 112–65 33% / 67% 0.891 0.446 1.101
2023-07-29 Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans 99–101 44% / 56% 0.383 0.192 0.576
2023-07-29 Geelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers 64–71 79% / 21% 1.247 0.623 1.559
2023-07-29 Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions 96–55 33% / 67% 0.910 0.455 1.122
2023-07-29 Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants 73–78 63% / 37% 0.803 0.402 1.004
2023-07-30 Hawthorn Hawks v St Kilda Saints 93–122 42% / 58% 0.360 0.180 0.552
2023-07-30 Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons 98–130 47% / 53% 0.441 0.220 0.634
2023-07-30 West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos 72–67 58% / 42% 0.352 0.176 0.544
2023-08-04 Western Bulldogs v Richmond Tigers 126–71 57% / 43% 0.368 0.184 0.560
2023-08-05 Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns 89–61 55% / 45% 0.402 0.201 0.595
2023-08-05 Essendon Bombers v West Coast Eagles 73–72 84% / 16% 0.049 0.024 0.170
2023-08-05 GWS Giants v Sydney Swans 85–96 51% / 49% 0.516 0.258 0.709
2023-08-05 Geelong Cats v Port Adelaide Power 97–85 61% / 39% 0.310 0.155 0.500
2023-08-05 Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies 105–73 18% / 82% 1.353 0.676 1.728
2023-08-06 Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions 74–77 39% / 61% 0.309 0.155 0.500
2023-08-06 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons 71–103 8% / 92% 0.012 0.006 0.082
2023-08-06 St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues 54–73 47% / 53% 0.444 0.222 0.637
2023-08-11 Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats 109–101 58% / 42% 0.356 0.178 0.548
2023-08-12 Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows 99–93 72% / 28% 0.156 0.078 0.327
2023-08-12 Carlton Blues v Melbourne Demons 60–56 47% / 53% 0.564 0.282 0.758
2023-08-12 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Essendon Bombers 77–86 22% / 78% 0.093 0.047 0.243
2023-08-12 Sydney Swans v Gold Coast Suns 114–90 71% / 29% 0.171 0.085 0.346
2023-08-12 West Coast Eagles v Fremantle Dockers 33–134 23% / 77% 0.108 0.054 0.264
2023-08-13 Hawthorn Hawks v Western Bulldogs 67–64 34% / 66% 0.876 0.438 1.084
2023-08-13 Port Adelaide Power v GWS Giants 136–85 66% / 34% 0.237 0.119 0.422
2023-08-13 St Kilda Saints v Richmond Tigers 93–57 51% / 49% 0.488 0.244 0.681
2023-08-18 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 100–124 60% / 40% 0.726 0.363 0.922
2023-08-19 Adelaide Crows v Sydney Swans 73–74 43% / 57% 0.370 0.185 0.562
2023-08-19 GWS Giants v Essendon Bombers 162–36 62% / 38% 0.296 0.148 0.486
2023-08-19 Gold Coast Suns v Carlton Blues 87–91 40% / 60% 0.327 0.163 0.518
2023-08-19 Richmond Tigers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 101–72 90% / 10% 0.021 0.010 0.107
2023-08-19 St Kilda Saints v Geelong Cats 88–55 40% / 60% 0.720 0.360 0.917
2023-08-20 Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide Power 58–74 42% / 58% 0.347 0.173 0.539
2023-08-20 Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks 87–60 82% / 18% 0.062 0.031 0.193
2023-08-20 Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles 85–92 91% / 9% 1.655 0.827 2.404
2023-08-25 Essendon Bombers v Collingwood Magpies 31–101 32% / 68% 0.200 0.100 0.380
2023-08-26 Brisbane Lions v St Kilda Saints 72–60 73% / 27% 0.149 0.074 0.318
2023-08-26 Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs 79–104 67% / 33% 0.893 0.446 1.103
2023-08-26 Hawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers 56–93 48% / 52% 0.458 0.229 0.651
2023-08-26 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns 132–97 21% / 79% 1.245 0.622 1.556
2023-08-26 West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows 78–123 24% / 76% 0.117 0.058 0.277
2023-08-27 Carlton Blues v GWS Giants 73–105 67% / 33% 0.891 0.445 1.101
2023-08-27 Port Adelaide Power v Richmond Tigers 94–63 70% / 30% 0.176 0.088 0.352
2023-08-27 Sydney Swans v Melbourne Demons 56–77 53% / 47% 0.552 0.276 0.745
2023-09-07 Collingwood Magpies v Melbourne Demons 60–53 55% / 45% 0.399 0.200 0.592
2023-09-08 Carlton Blues v Sydney Swans 74–68 55% / 45% 0.412 0.206 0.605
2023-09-09 Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide Power 123–75 62% / 38% 0.287 0.143 0.476
2023-09-09 St Kilda Saints v GWS Giants 77–101 52% / 48% 0.548 0.274 0.741
2023-09-15 Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues 71–73 62% / 38% 0.769 0.384 0.967
2023-09-16 Port Adelaide Power v GWS Giants 70–93 59% / 41% 0.696 0.348 0.891
2023-09-22 Collingwood Magpies v GWS Giants 58–57 65% / 35% 0.243 0.122 0.429
2023-09-23 Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues 79–63 66% / 34% 0.231 0.116 0.416
2023-09-30 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 90–86 47% / 53% 0.569 0.285 0.762
2024 AFL SEASON 213 matches scored PASS
BRIER (2-CLASS)
0.418
baseline 0.500
RPS
0.209
baseline 0.250
LOG-LOSS
0.597
baseline 0.693
MARKET BRIER
n/a
no historical odds feed
DATEMATCHSCOREP(H/A)BRIERRPSLOG-LOSS
2024-03-07 Sydney Swans v Melbourne Demons 86–64 51% / 49% 0.483 0.242 0.676
2024-03-08 Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues 85–86 68% / 32% 0.919 0.460 1.133
2024-03-09 GWS Giants v Collingwood Magpies 114–82 42% / 58% 0.682 0.341 0.877
2024-03-09 Gold Coast Suns v Richmond Tigers 99–60 48% / 52% 0.545 0.272 0.738
2024-03-14 Carlton Blues v Richmond Tigers 86–81 75% / 25% 0.124 0.062 0.287
2024-03-15 Collingwood Magpies v Sydney Swans 69–102 68% / 32% 0.935 0.467 1.151
2024-03-16 Essendon Bombers v Hawthorn Hawks 107–83 62% / 38% 0.282 0.141 0.471
2024-03-16 GWS Giants v North Melbourne Kangaroos 121–82 94% / 6% 0.007 0.004 0.062
2024-03-16 Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints 76–68 67% / 33% 0.220 0.110 0.403
2024-03-16 Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Crows 60–54 51% / 49% 0.480 0.240 0.674
2024-03-17 Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions 93–70 34% / 66% 0.883 0.441 1.092
2024-03-17 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 109–64 63% / 37% 0.270 0.135 0.457
2024-03-17 Port Adelaide Power v West Coast Eagles 120–70 91% / 9% 0.017 0.009 0.097
2024-03-21 St Kilda Saints v Collingwood Magpies 94–79 35% / 65% 0.843 0.421 1.047
2024-03-22 Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats 77–96 43% / 57% 0.373 0.186 0.565
2024-03-23 Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons 38–93 27% / 73% 0.143 0.072 0.311
2024-03-23 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Fremantle Dockers 76–102 19% / 81% 0.072 0.036 0.210
2024-03-23 Sydney Swans v Essendon Bombers 131–101 77% / 23% 0.102 0.051 0.256
2024-03-24 Richmond Tigers v Port Adelaide Power 92–122 43% / 57% 0.371 0.186 0.564
2024-03-24 West Coast Eagles v GWS Giants 43–108 12% / 88% 0.029 0.014 0.128
2024-03-24 Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast Suns 115–67 65% / 35% 0.241 0.121 0.427
2024-03-28 Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies 72–92 59% / 41% 0.693 0.346 0.888
2024-03-29 Fremantle Dockers v Adelaide Crows 69–34 64% / 36% 0.257 0.128 0.444
2024-03-29 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Carlton Blues 81–137 11% / 89% 0.023 0.011 0.113
2024-03-30 Essendon Bombers v St Kilda Saints 71–67 47% / 53% 0.556 0.278 0.749
2024-03-30 Port Adelaide Power v Melbourne Demons 89–96 52% / 48% 0.534 0.267 0.728
2024-03-31 Richmond Tigers v Sydney Swans 82–77 34% / 66% 0.875 0.437 1.083
2024-03-31 Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles 106–30 90% / 10% 0.020 0.010 0.106
2024-04-01 Hawthorn Hawks v Geelong Cats 70–106 28% / 72% 0.155 0.077 0.326
2024-04-04 Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons 63–78 33% / 67% 0.221 0.110 0.404
2024-04-05 Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne Kangaroos 112–42 94% / 6% 0.006 0.003 0.057
2024-04-05 Port Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers 111–42 71% / 29% 0.168 0.084 0.343
2024-04-06 Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues 63–73 45% / 55% 0.405 0.202 0.597
2024-04-06 West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans 78–104 13% / 87% 0.032 0.016 0.136
2024-04-06 Western Bulldogs v Geelong Cats 91–95 50% / 50% 0.496 0.248 0.689
2024-04-07 Collingwood Magpies v Hawthorn Hawks 77–72 87% / 13% 0.033 0.016 0.136
2024-04-07 Gold Coast Suns v GWS Giants 89–117 34% / 66% 0.235 0.117 0.419
2024-04-07 Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints 60–67 54% / 46% 0.575 0.287 0.768
2024-04-11 Melbourne Demons v Brisbane Lions 60–82 59% / 41% 0.700 0.350 0.896
2024-04-12 Western Bulldogs v Essendon Bombers 67–96 69% / 31% 0.950 0.475 1.169
2024-04-13 Carlton Blues v Adelaide Crows 98–100 79% / 21% 1.263 0.632 1.583
2024-04-13 GWS Giants v St Kilda Saints 80–79 72% / 28% 0.156 0.078 0.327
2024-04-13 Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks 109–56 67% / 33% 0.213 0.106 0.395
2024-04-13 Port Adelaide Power v Fremantle Dockers 66–63 64% / 36% 0.261 0.131 0.448
2024-04-14 Geelong Cats v North Melbourne Kangaroos 139–64 94% / 6% 0.007 0.003 0.060
2024-04-14 West Coast Eagles v Richmond Tigers 109–70 26% / 74% 1.102 0.551 1.356
2024-04-18 St Kilda Saints v Western Bulldogs 64–124 56% / 44% 0.629 0.315 0.823
2024-04-19 Adelaide Crows v Essendon Bombers 75–78 57% / 43% 0.639 0.320 0.833
2024-04-20 Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats 37–63 61% / 39% 0.736 0.368 0.933
2024-04-20 Carlton Blues v GWS Giants 117–98 54% / 46% 0.422 0.211 0.615
2024-04-20 Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power 123–81 65% / 35% 0.250 0.125 0.436
2024-04-20 West Coast Eagles v Fremantle Dockers 105–68 23% / 77% 1.183 0.592 1.466
2024-04-21 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Hawthorn Hawks 68–113 37% / 63% 0.280 0.140 0.468
2024-04-21 Sydney Swans v Gold Coast Suns 110–57 75% / 25% 0.123 0.061 0.284
2024-04-24 Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons 42–85 31% / 69% 0.191 0.096 0.370
2024-04-25 GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions 113–59 57% / 43% 0.374 0.187 0.566
2024-04-26 Port Adelaide Power v St Kilda Saints 82–72 69% / 31% 0.190 0.095 0.368
2024-04-27 Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs 95–71 50% / 50% 0.507 0.253 0.700
2024-04-27 Geelong Cats v Carlton Blues 118–105 57% / 43% 0.362 0.181 0.554
2024-04-27 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Adelaide Crows 81–138 23% / 77% 0.109 0.054 0.266
2024-04-28 Gold Coast Suns v West Coast Eagles 112–75 76% / 24% 0.111 0.056 0.269
2024-04-28 Hawthorn Hawks v Sydney Swans 42–118 24% / 76% 0.118 0.059 0.278
2024-05-02 Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power 78–48 40% / 60% 0.712 0.356 0.908
2024-05-03 Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies 79–85 52% / 48% 0.537 0.268 0.730
2024-05-04 Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats 74–66 54% / 46% 0.427 0.213 0.620
2024-05-04 St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos 103–65 88% / 12% 0.031 0.016 0.133
2024-05-04 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 98–69 54% / 46% 0.416 0.208 0.609
2024-05-04 West Coast Eagles v Essendon Bombers 71–77 29% / 71% 0.169 0.085 0.344
2024-05-05 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 79–45 75% / 25% 0.127 0.063 0.290
2024-05-05 Richmond Tigers v Fremantle Dockers 49–103 45% / 55% 0.402 0.201 0.595
2024-05-05 Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks 91–98 77% / 23% 1.177 0.589 1.458
2024-05-09 Carlton Blues v Melbourne Demons 77–76 52% / 48% 0.462 0.231 0.656
2024-05-10 Fremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans 39–87 40% / 60% 0.328 0.164 0.519
2024-05-10 Geelong Cats v Port Adelaide Power 95–101 67% / 33% 0.904 0.452 1.116
2024-05-11 Essendon Bombers v GWS Giants 82–62 40% / 60% 0.723 0.362 0.920
2024-05-11 Gold Coast Suns v North Melbourne Kangaroos 120–52 86% / 14% 0.039 0.020 0.150
2024-05-11 Hawthorn Hawks v St Kilda Saints 58–53 44% / 56% 0.637 0.319 0.831
2024-05-11 Richmond Tigers v Western Bulldogs 42–133 44% / 56% 0.383 0.192 0.576
2024-05-12 Collingwood Magpies v West Coast Eagles 103–37 94% / 6% 0.008 0.004 0.066
2024-05-16 Gold Coast Suns v Geelong Cats 164–100 35% / 65% 0.854 0.427 1.060
2024-05-17 Sydney Swans v Carlton Blues 117–65 62% / 38% 0.293 0.146 0.482
2024-05-18 Brisbane Lions v Richmond Tigers 163–44 83% / 17% 0.058 0.029 0.187
2024-05-18 Collingwood Magpies v Adelaide Crows 78–74 79% / 21% 0.092 0.046 0.242
2024-05-18 GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs 43–70 68% / 32% 0.925 0.462 1.139
2024-05-18 St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers 55–72 50% / 50% 0.504 0.252 0.697
2024-05-19 Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 106–66 91% / 9% 0.016 0.008 0.093
2024-05-19 Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks 80–79 79% / 21% 0.090 0.045 0.238
2024-05-19 West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons 105–70 15% / 85% 1.454 0.727 1.916
2024-05-23 Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans 88–102 39% / 61% 0.302 0.151 0.491
2024-05-25 Carlton Blues v Gold Coast Suns 102–73 71% / 29% 0.165 0.083 0.339
2024-05-25 Geelong Cats v GWS Giants 74–78 58% / 42% 0.674 0.337 0.869
2024-05-25 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Port Adelaide Power 48–107 11% / 89% 0.025 0.013 0.119
2024-05-25 Richmond Tigers v Essendon Bombers 74–86 36% / 64% 0.263 0.132 0.451
2024-05-26 Adelaide Crows v West Coast Eagles 137–38 78% / 22% 0.095 0.048 0.246
2024-05-26 Hawthorn Hawks v Brisbane Lions 100–75 28% / 72% 1.042 0.521 1.280
2024-05-26 Melbourne Demons v St Kilda Saints 100–62 75% / 25% 0.120 0.060 0.282
2024-05-30 Port Adelaide Power v Carlton Blues 71–107 53% / 47% 0.562 0.281 0.755
2024-05-31 Collingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs 82–100 74% / 26% 1.106 0.553 1.361
2024-06-01 Geelong Cats v Richmond Tigers 99–69 81% / 19% 0.073 0.036 0.211
2024-06-01 Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows 107–80 46% / 54% 0.576 0.288 0.769
2024-06-01 West Coast Eagles v St Kilda Saints 68–82 39% / 61% 0.303 0.152 0.493
2024-06-02 Gold Coast Suns v Essendon Bombers 91–80 50% / 50% 0.506 0.253 0.699
2024-06-02 Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers 49–141 67% / 33% 0.885 0.443 1.095
2024-06-06 Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers 71–79 72% / 28% 1.032 0.516 1.267
2024-06-07 Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions 71–114 53% / 47% 0.570 0.285 0.763
2024-06-08 Hawthorn Hawks v GWS Giants 85–79 37% / 63% 0.789 0.395 0.990
2024-06-08 St Kilda Saints v Gold Coast Suns 51–48 50% / 50% 0.504 0.252 0.697
2024-06-08 West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos 65–74 72% / 28% 1.033 0.517 1.269
2024-06-09 Essendon Bombers v Carlton Blues 70–96 41% / 59% 0.337 0.168 0.528
2024-06-09 Sydney Swans v Geelong Cats 112–82 71% / 29% 0.170 0.085 0.344
2024-06-10 Collingwood Magpies v Melbourne Demons 89–51 67% / 33% 0.214 0.107 0.396
2024-06-14 Brisbane Lions v St Kilda Saints 126–106 75% / 25% 0.126 0.063 0.289
2024-06-15 Adelaide Crows v Sydney Swans 67–109 26% / 74% 0.134 0.067 0.300
2024-06-15 Richmond Tigers v Hawthorn Hawks 49–97 45% / 55% 0.414 0.207 0.607
2024-06-15 Western Bulldogs v Fremantle Dockers 149–82 53% / 47% 0.444 0.222 0.637
2024-06-16 GWS Giants v Port Adelaide Power 73–51 58% / 42% 0.360 0.180 0.552
2024-06-16 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Collingwood Magpies 118–119 8% / 92% 0.013 0.006 0.083
2024-06-21 Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats 138–75 67% / 33% 0.213 0.106 0.395
2024-06-22 GWS Giants v Sydney Swans 75–102 41% / 59% 0.339 0.170 0.531
2024-06-22 Melbourne Demons v North Melbourne Kangaroos 70–67 92% / 8% 0.013 0.007 0.085
2024-06-22 Port Adelaide Power v Brisbane Lions 73–152 48% / 52% 0.466 0.233 0.659
2024-06-23 Essendon Bombers v West Coast Eagles 122–92 83% / 17% 0.055 0.027 0.181
2024-06-23 Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns 85–65 64% / 36% 0.252 0.126 0.439
2024-06-28 Brisbane Lions v Melbourne Demons 86–81 67% / 33% 0.214 0.107 0.397
2024-06-29 Adelaide Crows v GWS Giants 94–78 40% / 60% 0.722 0.361 0.918
2024-06-29 Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers 105–60 62% / 38% 0.284 0.142 0.473
2024-06-29 Gold Coast Suns v Collingwood Magpies 101–90 32% / 68% 0.928 0.464 1.143
2024-06-29 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Western Bulldogs 60–77 14% / 86% 0.039 0.019 0.150
2024-06-29 Sydney Swans v Fremantle Dockers 98–99 77% / 23% 1.171 0.585 1.449
2024-06-30 Richmond Tigers v Carlton Blues 70–131 20% / 80% 0.079 0.040 0.222
2024-06-30 St Kilda Saints v Port Adelaide Power 60–62 47% / 53% 0.436 0.218 0.629
2024-06-30 West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn Hawks 33–94 29% / 71% 0.166 0.083 0.340
2024-07-05 Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers 80–92 75% / 25% 1.114 0.557 1.372
2024-07-06 Fremantle Dockers v Richmond Tigers 105–54 82% / 18% 0.066 0.033 0.200
2024-07-06 GWS Giants v Carlton Blues 116–104 41% / 59% 0.688 0.344 0.883
2024-07-06 Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks 110–59 67% / 33% 0.220 0.110 0.403
2024-07-06 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns 87–83 19% / 81% 1.298 0.649 1.639
2024-07-06 Port Adelaide Power v Western Bulldogs 102–54 53% / 47% 0.437 0.218 0.630
2024-07-07 Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows 97–86 78% / 22% 0.099 0.050 0.252
2024-07-07 Melbourne Demons v West Coast Eagles 112–58 88% / 12% 0.030 0.015 0.131
2024-07-07 St Kilda Saints v Sydney Swans 84–82 25% / 75% 1.139 0.569 1.404
2024-07-12 Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats 71–91 61% / 39% 0.746 0.373 0.944
2024-07-13 Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints 71–39 57% / 43% 0.368 0.184 0.561
2024-07-13 Hawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers 87–74 43% / 57% 0.653 0.327 0.847
2024-07-13 Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers 84–67 61% / 39% 0.300 0.150 0.490
2024-07-13 Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos 138–59 96% / 4% 0.003 0.002 0.042
2024-07-13 Western Bulldogs v Carlton Blues 100–86 43% / 57% 0.653 0.327 0.847
2024-07-14 Gold Coast Suns v Port Adelaide Power 96–82 45% / 55% 0.607 0.304 0.801
2024-07-14 Richmond Tigers v GWS Giants 84–108 28% / 72% 0.158 0.079 0.330
2024-07-14 West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions 93–106 12% / 88% 0.029 0.014 0.128
2024-07-19 Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows 113–115 60% / 40% 0.714 0.357 0.910
2024-07-20 GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns 89–50 68% / 32% 0.204 0.102 0.384
2024-07-20 Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs 48–95 62% / 38% 0.770 0.385 0.968
2024-07-20 Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies 133–67 44% / 56% 0.628 0.314 0.822
2024-07-20 Port Adelaide Power v Richmond Tigers 116–75 80% / 20% 0.080 0.040 0.223
2024-07-20 St Kilda Saints v West Coast Eagles 113–41 80% / 20% 0.081 0.041 0.225
2024-07-21 Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans 79–77 54% / 46% 0.430 0.215 0.623
2024-07-21 Carlton Blues v North Melbourne Kangaroos 107–88 94% / 6% 0.007 0.003 0.059
2024-07-21 Fremantle Dockers v Melbourne Demons 116–66 56% / 44% 0.382 0.191 0.575
2024-07-26 Carlton Blues v Port Adelaide Power 65–79 67% / 33% 0.902 0.451 1.114
2024-07-27 Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles 110–75 91% / 9% 0.018 0.009 0.098
2024-07-27 Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions 65–93 32% / 68% 0.211 0.105 0.392
2024-07-27 Melbourne Demons v GWS Giants 83–85 50% / 50% 0.508 0.254 0.701
2024-07-27 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Geelong Cats 66–106 14% / 86% 0.042 0.021 0.156
2024-07-27 St Kilda Saints v Essendon Bombers 108–55 52% / 48% 0.460 0.230 0.653
2024-07-28 Adelaide Crows v Hawthorn Hawks 58–124 53% / 47% 0.560 0.280 0.753
2024-07-28 Collingwood Magpies v Richmond Tigers 93–67 82% / 18% 0.062 0.031 0.193
2024-07-28 Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs 48–87 66% / 34% 0.877 0.439 1.085
2024-08-02 West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns 97–87 27% / 73% 1.060 0.530 1.302
2024-08-02 Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons 110–59 68% / 32% 0.203 0.102 0.384
2024-08-03 Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues 84–81 52% / 48% 0.469 0.234 0.662
2024-08-03 Geelong Cats v Adelaide Crows 90–85 70% / 30% 0.179 0.089 0.355
2024-08-03 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Richmond Tigers 90–77 40% / 60% 0.714 0.357 0.911
2024-08-03 Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans 148–36 48% / 52% 0.540 0.270 0.733
2024-08-04 Essendon Bombers v Fremantle Dockers 90–89 41% / 59% 0.692 0.346 0.887
2024-08-04 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 84–82 64% / 36% 0.265 0.133 0.453
2024-08-04 St Kilda Saints v Brisbane Lions 39–124 31% / 69% 0.195 0.098 0.374
2024-08-09 Sydney Swans v Collingwood Magpies 89–86 60% / 40% 0.324 0.162 0.515
2024-08-10 Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants 64–82 66% / 34% 0.877 0.439 1.085
2024-08-10 Essendon Bombers v Gold Coast Suns 86–87 62% / 38% 0.761 0.381 0.959
2024-08-10 Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats 62–73 54% / 46% 0.591 0.295 0.784
2024-08-10 Melbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power 51–53 45% / 55% 0.414 0.207 0.606
2024-08-10 North Melbourne Kangaroos v West Coast Eagles 97–102 52% / 48% 0.543 0.272 0.737
2024-08-11 Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs 111–72 35% / 65% 0.851 0.426 1.057
2024-08-11 Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks 38–112 63% / 37% 0.800 0.400 1.001
2024-08-11 Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints 51–99 36% / 64% 0.262 0.131 0.450
2024-08-16 Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans 59–98 38% / 62% 0.282 0.141 0.470
2024-08-17 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 79–78 44% / 56% 0.618 0.309 0.812
2024-08-17 GWS Giants v Fremantle Dockers 101–92 68% / 32% 0.209 0.104 0.390
2024-08-17 Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons 63–117 50% / 50% 0.509 0.255 0.703
2024-08-17 Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows 80–58 71% / 29% 0.164 0.082 0.337
2024-08-17 St Kilda Saints v Geelong Cats 107–89 40% / 60% 0.710 0.355 0.906
2024-08-18 Hawthorn Hawks v Richmond Tigers 131–68 87% / 13% 0.036 0.018 0.143
2024-08-18 West Coast Eagles v Carlton Blues 34–99 22% / 78% 0.095 0.048 0.247
2024-08-18 Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne Kangaroos 138–42 93% / 7% 0.010 0.005 0.072
2024-08-23 Melbourne Demons v Collingwood Magpies 57–103 50% / 50% 0.491 0.245 0.684
2024-08-24 Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers 87–67 79% / 21% 0.085 0.042 0.231
2024-08-24 Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles 168–75 89% / 11% 0.026 0.013 0.120
2024-08-24 Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos 170–46 92% / 8% 0.013 0.006 0.082
2024-08-24 Richmond Tigers v Gold Coast Suns 66–94 38% / 62% 0.281 0.141 0.470
2024-08-24 Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows 121–90 74% / 26% 0.139 0.070 0.306
2024-08-25 Carlton Blues v St Kilda Saints 74–76 65% / 35% 0.848 0.424 1.053
2024-08-25 Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide Power 67–87 46% / 54% 0.425 0.212 0.618
2024-08-25 Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants 98–61 51% / 49% 0.471 0.235 0.664
2024-09-05 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 54–138 64% / 36% 0.816 0.408 1.018
2024-09-06 Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks 62–99 62% / 38% 0.781 0.391 0.981
2024-09-07 Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues 99–71 70% / 30% 0.180 0.090 0.357
2024-09-07 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 88–82 58% / 42% 0.348 0.174 0.540
2024-09-13 Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks 75–72 53% / 47% 0.448 0.224 0.641
2024-09-14 GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions 100–105 48% / 52% 0.458 0.229 0.651
2024-09-20 Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide Power 95–59 63% / 37% 0.280 0.140 0.469
2024-09-21 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 85–95 50% / 50% 0.491 0.245 0.684
2024-09-28 Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions 60–120 47% / 53% 0.437 0.219 0.630
2025 AFL SEASON 215 matches scored PASS
BRIER (2-CLASS)
0.368
baseline 0.500
RPS
0.184
baseline 0.250
LOG-LOSS
0.542
baseline 0.693
MARKET BRIER
n/a
no historical odds feed
DATEMATCHSCOREP(H/A)BRIERRPSLOG-LOSS
2025-03-07 Sydney Swans v Hawthorn Hawks 76–96 63% / 37% 0.800 0.400 1.001
2025-03-09 GWS Giants v Collingwood Magpies 104–52 55% / 45% 0.412 0.206 0.605
2025-03-13 Richmond Tigers v Carlton Blues 82–69 25% / 75% 1.113 0.557 1.371
2025-03-14 Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers 111–85 77% / 23% 0.103 0.052 0.258
2025-03-15 Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power 136–45 57% / 43% 0.376 0.188 0.569
2025-03-15 Geelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers 147–69 68% / 32% 0.209 0.105 0.391
2025-03-15 Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions 82–86 42% / 58% 0.351 0.175 0.543
2025-03-15 Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne Kangaroos 113–97 93% / 7% 0.011 0.005 0.076
2025-03-16 Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints 135–72 52% / 48% 0.466 0.233 0.659
2025-03-16 Melbourne Demons v GWS Giants 74–77 44% / 56% 0.379 0.190 0.572
2025-03-16 West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns 49–136 33% / 67% 0.215 0.108 0.398
2025-03-20 Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks 60–80 40% / 60% 0.327 0.164 0.518
2025-03-21 Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies 70–76 55% / 45% 0.600 0.300 0.794
2025-03-22 Essendon Bombers v Adelaide Crows 100–161 48% / 52% 0.470 0.235 0.663
2025-03-22 Port Adelaide Power v Richmond Tigers 140–68 85% / 15% 0.048 0.024 0.168
2025-03-22 St Kilda Saints v Geelong Cats 98–91 39% / 61% 0.749 0.375 0.947
2025-03-23 Brisbane Lions v West Coast Eagles 94–75 97% / 3% 0.002 0.001 0.034
2025-03-23 Fremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans 65–68 43% / 57% 0.372 0.186 0.565
2025-03-23 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons 125–66 21% / 79% 1.253 0.626 1.567
2025-03-27 Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power 72–60 38% / 62% 0.773 0.386 0.972
2025-03-28 Carlton Blues v Western Bulldogs 75–83 46% / 54% 0.414 0.207 0.607
2025-03-29 Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats 70–61 74% / 26% 0.138 0.069 0.304
2025-03-29 Hawthorn Hawks v GWS Giants 76–64 59% / 41% 0.331 0.165 0.522
2025-03-29 Melbourne Demons v Gold Coast Suns 62–120 56% / 44% 0.633 0.317 0.827
2025-03-29 St Kilda Saints v Richmond Tigers 135–53 81% / 19% 0.072 0.036 0.211
2025-03-30 Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne Kangaroos 114–78 86% / 14% 0.037 0.018 0.146
2025-03-30 West Coast Eagles v Fremantle Dockers 68–106 25% / 75% 0.127 0.064 0.291
2025-04-03 Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues 63–46 74% / 26% 0.134 0.067 0.299
2025-04-04 Geelong Cats v Melbourne Demons 85–46 77% / 23% 0.104 0.052 0.259
2025-04-05 Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Crows 91–90 51% / 49% 0.473 0.237 0.666
2025-04-05 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans 52–117 14% / 86% 0.037 0.019 0.146
2025-04-05 Richmond Tigers v Brisbane Lions 90–118 9% / 91% 0.015 0.007 0.090
2025-04-06 Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs 97–81 46% / 54% 0.576 0.288 0.770
2025-04-06 GWS Giants v West Coast Eagles 132–51 92% / 8% 0.014 0.007 0.087
2025-04-06 Port Adelaide Power v St Kilda Saints 72–89 60% / 40% 0.716 0.358 0.912
2025-04-10 Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats 100–119 44% / 56% 0.395 0.197 0.587
2025-04-11 Collingwood Magpies v Sydney Swans 109–78 57% / 43% 0.369 0.184 0.561
2025-04-12 Carlton Blues v West Coast Eagles 121–50 83% / 17% 0.059 0.030 0.189
2025-04-12 Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers 57–96 54% / 46% 0.591 0.295 0.784
2025-04-12 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Gold Coast Suns 89–141 24% / 76% 0.119 0.059 0.279
2025-04-12 Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions 97–118 33% / 67% 0.212 0.106 0.394
2025-04-13 Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks 121–91 40% / 60% 0.725 0.363 0.922
2025-04-13 Richmond Tigers v Fremantle Dockers 47–108 27% / 73% 0.144 0.072 0.313
2025-04-13 St Kilda Saints v GWS Giants 82–110 48% / 52% 0.454 0.227 0.647
2025-04-17 Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies 53–105 71% / 29% 1.017 0.508 1.249
2025-04-18 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Carlton Blues 71–153 26% / 74% 0.135 0.067 0.301
2025-04-18 West Coast Eagles v Essendon Bombers 75–77 28% / 72% 0.153 0.077 0.324
2025-04-19 Adelaide Crows v GWS Giants 52–34 41% / 59% 0.703 0.352 0.899
2025-04-19 Melbourne Demons v Fremantle Dockers 107–97 39% / 61% 0.745 0.372 0.942
2025-04-19 Richmond Tigers v Gold Coast Suns 80–69 28% / 72% 1.029 0.514 1.263
2025-04-20 Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide Power 77–85 65% / 35% 0.837 0.418 1.041
2025-04-20 Western Bulldogs v St Kilda Saints 127–56 62% / 38% 0.294 0.147 0.484
2025-04-21 Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks 86–79 57% / 43% 0.375 0.188 0.568
2025-04-24 Melbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers 83–63 71% / 29% 0.169 0.084 0.343
2025-04-25 Collingwood Magpies v Essendon Bombers 107–66 81% / 19% 0.071 0.035 0.208
2025-04-25 Fremantle Dockers v Adelaide Crows 85–67 56% / 44% 0.396 0.198 0.588
2025-04-26 GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs 81–113 60% / 40% 0.715 0.357 0.911
2025-04-26 Port Adelaide Power v North Melbourne Kangaroos 97–88 91% / 9% 0.018 0.009 0.098
2025-04-26 St Kilda Saints v Brisbane Lions 73–118 28% / 72% 0.158 0.079 0.330
2025-04-27 Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats 94–76 37% / 63% 0.785 0.393 0.985
2025-04-27 Gold Coast Suns v Sydney Swans 117–79 43% / 57% 0.661 0.330 0.855
2025-04-27 Hawthorn Hawks v West Coast Eagles 124–74 93% / 7% 0.011 0.006 0.077
2025-05-01 Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 65–62 83% / 17% 0.055 0.027 0.181
2025-05-02 St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers 94–33 52% / 48% 0.460 0.230 0.653
2025-05-03 Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues 110–50 57% / 43% 0.377 0.188 0.569
2025-05-03 Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats 87–90 67% / 33% 0.887 0.443 1.096
2025-05-03 West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons 76–108 31% / 69% 0.188 0.094 0.366
2025-05-03 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power 131–41 61% / 39% 0.301 0.151 0.491
2025-05-04 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 66–49 82% / 18% 0.062 0.031 0.193
2025-05-04 Hawthorn Hawks v Richmond Tigers 109–44 89% / 11% 0.025 0.012 0.118
2025-05-04 Sydney Swans v GWS Giants 87–73 55% / 45% 0.407 0.204 0.600
2025-05-08 Fremantle Dockers v Collingwood Magpies 83–97 36% / 64% 0.252 0.126 0.439
2025-05-09 St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues 62–77 61% / 39% 0.741 0.371 0.939
2025-05-10 Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans 71–63 42% / 58% 0.675 0.337 0.870
2025-05-10 Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs 106–96 41% / 59% 0.695 0.347 0.890
2025-05-10 Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks 56–91 34% / 66% 0.228 0.114 0.412
2025-05-10 Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows 84–89 59% / 41% 0.697 0.349 0.892
2025-05-11 Geelong Cats v GWS Giants 101–105 65% / 35% 0.855 0.427 1.061
2025-05-11 Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles 81–79 67% / 33% 0.223 0.112 0.407
2025-05-15 Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks 104–96 43% / 57% 0.639 0.320 0.833
2025-05-16 Sydney Swans v Carlton Blues 78–62 63% / 37% 0.270 0.135 0.458
2025-05-17 Collingwood Magpies v Adelaide Crows 78–68 73% / 27% 0.147 0.074 0.317
2025-05-17 GWS Giants v Fremantle Dockers 61–95 67% / 33% 0.907 0.453 1.119
2025-05-17 Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats 39–115 46% / 54% 0.431 0.215 0.624
2025-05-17 Western Bulldogs v Essendon Bombers 127–36 72% / 28% 0.161 0.081 0.334
2025-05-18 Brisbane Lions v Melbourne Demons 88–99 88% / 12% 1.548 0.774 2.117
2025-05-18 Richmond Tigers v North Melbourne Kangaroos 74–78 66% / 34% 0.872 0.436 1.080
2025-05-18 West Coast Eagles v St Kilda Saints 108–80 21% / 79% 1.235 0.617 1.540
2025-05-22 Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs 127–113 59% / 41% 0.341 0.170 0.532
2025-05-23 Essendon Bombers v Richmond Tigers 81–58 79% / 21% 0.092 0.046 0.241
2025-05-24 Carlton Blues v GWS Giants 82–110 50% / 50% 0.493 0.247 0.686
2025-05-24 Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide Power 100–51 59% / 41% 0.339 0.169 0.530
2025-05-24 Hawthorn Hawks v Brisbane Lions 60–93 45% / 55% 0.397 0.199 0.590
2025-05-24 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Collingwood Magpies 63–108 10% / 90% 0.020 0.010 0.106
2025-05-25 Adelaide Crows v West Coast Eagles 128–62 88% / 12% 0.030 0.015 0.132
2025-05-25 Melbourne Demons v Sydney Swans 131–78 42% / 58% 0.675 0.338 0.870
2025-05-25 St Kilda Saints v Gold Coast Suns 61–80 47% / 53% 0.434 0.217 0.627
2025-05-29 Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers 90–72 83% / 17% 0.055 0.028 0.181
2025-05-30 Collingwood Magpies v Hawthorn Hawks 107–56 69% / 31% 0.195 0.098 0.375
2025-05-31 GWS Giants v Richmond Tigers 80–77 87% / 13% 0.032 0.016 0.136
2025-05-31 Gold Coast Suns v Fremantle Dockers 64–75 59% / 41% 0.685 0.343 0.880
2025-05-31 Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows 41–131 56% / 44% 0.634 0.317 0.828
2025-06-01 Melbourne Demons v St Kilda Saints 63–91 62% / 38% 0.759 0.379 0.957
2025-06-01 West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats 73–116 12% / 88% 0.029 0.014 0.127
2025-06-05 Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks 59–81 60% / 40% 0.722 0.361 0.919
2025-06-06 Adelaide Crows v Brisbane Lions 68–63 38% / 62% 0.775 0.388 0.974
2025-06-07 GWS Giants v Port Adelaide Power 50–66 67% / 33% 0.897 0.448 1.108
2025-06-07 Geelong Cats v Gold Coast Suns 61–37 70% / 30% 0.176 0.088 0.352
2025-06-07 Richmond Tigers v Sydney Swans 36–80 27% / 73% 0.149 0.074 0.318
2025-06-08 Carlton Blues v Essendon Bombers 78–70 58% / 42% 0.356 0.178 0.548
2025-06-08 North Melbourne Kangaroos v West Coast Eagles 62–52 58% / 42% 0.351 0.176 0.543
2025-06-09 Melbourne Demons v Collingwood Magpies 71–72 27% / 73% 0.146 0.073 0.315
2025-06-12 St Kilda Saints v Western Bulldogs 60–132 43% / 57% 0.366 0.183 0.558
2025-06-13 Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows 47–44 58% / 42% 0.357 0.178 0.549
2025-06-14 Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants 96–107 75% / 25% 1.131 0.565 1.394
2025-06-14 Essendon Bombers v Geelong Cats 56–151 31% / 69% 0.196 0.098 0.375
2025-06-14 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Fremantle Dockers 67–73 20% / 80% 0.082 0.041 0.226
2025-06-15 Port Adelaide Power v Melbourne Demons 93–68 64% / 36% 0.262 0.131 0.449
2025-06-15 West Coast Eagles v Carlton Blues 52–86 24% / 76% 0.111 0.056 0.269
2025-06-19 Fremantle Dockers v Essendon Bombers 104–63 71% / 29% 0.163 0.081 0.336
2025-06-20 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 51–92 56% / 44% 0.630 0.315 0.824
2025-06-21 Carlton Blues v North Melbourne Kangaroos 73–84 84% / 16% 1.396 0.698 1.804
2025-06-21 Collingwood Magpies v St Kilda Saints 108–74 84% / 16% 0.051 0.025 0.174
2025-06-21 Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans 52–71 58% / 42% 0.677 0.339 0.872
2025-06-22 GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns 106–99 62% / 38% 0.284 0.142 0.472
2025-06-22 Western Bulldogs v Richmond Tigers 135–56 90% / 10% 0.020 0.010 0.106
2025-06-26 Port Adelaide Power v Carlton Blues 110–60 62% / 38% 0.294 0.147 0.484
2025-06-27 Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs 96–105 48% / 52% 0.462 0.231 0.656
2025-06-28 Collingwood Magpies v West Coast Eagles 88–59 96% / 4% 0.003 0.001 0.036
2025-06-28 Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons 104–85 66% / 34% 0.230 0.115 0.414
2025-06-28 Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos 150–65 90% / 10% 0.021 0.011 0.109
2025-06-29 Fremantle Dockers v St Kilda Saints 81–69 72% / 28% 0.156 0.078 0.327
2025-06-29 Richmond Tigers v Adelaide Crows 54–122 19% / 81% 0.071 0.036 0.209
2025-07-03 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Western Bulldogs 85–134 17% / 83% 0.060 0.030 0.189
2025-07-04 Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies 59–115 25% / 75% 0.123 0.061 0.285
2025-07-04 West Coast Eagles v GWS Giants 52–111 15% / 85% 0.044 0.022 0.161
2025-07-05 Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide Power 120–92 77% / 23% 0.102 0.051 0.257
2025-07-05 Essendon Bombers v Gold Coast Suns 74–115 44% / 56% 0.395 0.197 0.588
2025-07-05 Geelong Cats v Richmond Tigers 124–52 93% / 7% 0.010 0.005 0.075
2025-07-05 St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks 74–94 35% / 65% 0.240 0.120 0.425
2025-07-06 Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons 90–77 75% / 25% 0.124 0.062 0.286
2025-07-06 Sydney Swans v Fremantle Dockers 94–83 49% / 51% 0.521 0.260 0.714
2025-07-10 Carlton Blues v Brisbane Lions 66–103 24% / 76% 0.119 0.060 0.280
2025-07-11 Gold Coast Suns v Collingwood Magpies 69–63 35% / 65% 0.853 0.426 1.058
2025-07-12 Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks 77–64 49% / 51% 0.515 0.258 0.708
2025-07-12 GWS Giants v Geelong Cats 111–85 49% / 51% 0.527 0.263 0.720
2025-07-12 Richmond Tigers v Essendon Bombers 46–37 36% / 64% 0.828 0.414 1.031
2025-07-12 Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows 98–109 60% / 40% 0.728 0.364 0.924
2025-07-13 Melbourne Demons v North Melbourne Kangaroos 119–83 75% / 25% 0.124 0.062 0.286
2025-07-13 Port Adelaide Power v West Coast Eagles 87–61 88% / 12% 0.028 0.014 0.126
2025-07-13 St Kilda Saints v Sydney Swans 87–92 43% / 57% 0.368 0.184 0.560
2025-07-17 Essendon Bombers v GWS Giants 56–104 30% / 70% 0.179 0.090 0.356
2025-07-18 Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs 86–76 71% / 29% 0.174 0.087 0.349
2025-07-19 Carlton Blues v Melbourne Demons 78–70 57% / 43% 0.367 0.183 0.559
2025-07-19 Hawthorn Hawks v Port Adelaide Power 87–49 68% / 32% 0.209 0.105 0.391
2025-07-19 Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos 84–53 87% / 13% 0.035 0.017 0.142
2025-07-19 West Coast Eagles v Richmond Tigers 56–105 48% / 52% 0.458 0.229 0.651
2025-07-20 Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns 107–46 63% / 37% 0.279 0.140 0.468
2025-07-20 Collingwood Magpies v Fremantle Dockers 78–79 71% / 29% 0.998 0.499 1.225
2025-07-20 Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints 113–82 80% / 20% 0.080 0.040 0.223
2025-07-24 Hawthorn Hawks v Carlton Blues 85–61 77% / 23% 0.109 0.055 0.266
2025-07-25 Essendon Bombers v Western Bulldogs 50–143 31% / 69% 0.186 0.093 0.364
2025-07-25 GWS Giants v Sydney Swans 102–58 65% / 35% 0.248 0.124 0.434
2025-07-26 Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power 133–35 72% / 28% 0.158 0.079 0.330
2025-07-26 Fremantle Dockers v West Coast Eagles 126–77 94% / 6% 0.008 0.004 0.064
2025-07-26 Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions 130–64 35% / 65% 0.853 0.427 1.059
2025-07-26 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Geelong Cats 49–150 15% / 85% 0.043 0.021 0.158
2025-07-27 Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Magpies 57–93 14% / 86% 0.039 0.019 0.149
2025-07-27 St Kilda Saints v Melbourne Demons 96–90 56% / 44% 0.382 0.191 0.574
2025-07-31 Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants 132–44 53% / 47% 0.435 0.218 0.629
2025-08-01 Adelaide Crows v Hawthorn Hawks 101–87 59% / 41% 0.332 0.166 0.524
2025-08-02 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 65–92 57% / 43% 0.639 0.320 0.833
2025-08-02 Gold Coast Suns v Richmond Tigers 107–23 87% / 13% 0.032 0.016 0.136
2025-08-02 Melbourne Demons v West Coast Eagles 139–56 82% / 18% 0.066 0.033 0.201
2025-08-02 Sydney Swans v Essendon Bombers 68–54 76% / 24% 0.112 0.056 0.271
2025-08-03 Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues 94–67 76% / 24% 0.116 0.058 0.276
2025-08-03 Geelong Cats v Port Adelaide Power 153–65 74% / 26% 0.133 0.067 0.299
2025-08-03 St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos 78–69 77% / 23% 0.104 0.052 0.258
2025-08-07 Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies 110–46 51% / 49% 0.485 0.243 0.678
2025-08-08 Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers 109–65 86% / 14% 0.037 0.018 0.146
2025-08-09 Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans 90–92 76% / 24% 1.145 0.572 1.413
2025-08-09 Carlton Blues v Gold Coast Suns 74–93 37% / 63% 0.270 0.135 0.458
2025-08-09 Port Adelaide Power v Fremantle Dockers 86–92 40% / 60% 0.316 0.158 0.507
2025-08-09 Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints 52–56 38% / 62% 0.283 0.142 0.472
2025-08-10 GWS Giants v North Melbourne Kangaroos 133–79 91% / 9% 0.016 0.008 0.095
2025-08-10 Melbourne Demons v Western Bulldogs 99–105 29% / 71% 0.173 0.087 0.349
2025-08-10 West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Crows 78–87 8% / 92% 0.013 0.006 0.083
2025-08-15 Essendon Bombers v St Kilda Saints 75–77 46% / 54% 0.430 0.215 0.623
2025-08-15 Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions 44–101 49% / 51% 0.475 0.238 0.668
2025-08-16 Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies 59–56 60% / 40% 0.315 0.157 0.505
2025-08-16 Carlton Blues v Port Adelaide Power 118–64 51% / 49% 0.482 0.241 0.675
2025-08-16 Gold Coast Suns v GWS Giants 76–111 56% / 44% 0.630 0.315 0.823
2025-08-16 Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons 92–56 82% / 18% 0.063 0.031 0.195
2025-08-17 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Richmond Tigers 135–87 53% / 47% 0.447 0.223 0.640
2025-08-17 Sydney Swans v Geelong Cats 68–111 45% / 55% 0.414 0.207 0.607
2025-08-17 Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles 126–32 95% / 5% 0.004 0.002 0.046
2025-08-21 Essendon Bombers v Carlton Blues 56–90 44% / 56% 0.388 0.194 0.580
2025-08-22 Collingwood Magpies v Melbourne Demons 82–76 81% / 19% 0.071 0.035 0.208
2025-08-22 Port Adelaide Power v Gold Coast Suns 71–67 40% / 60% 0.729 0.364 0.925
2025-08-23 North Melbourne Kangaroos v Adelaide Crows 100–113 13% / 87% 0.033 0.016 0.136
2025-08-23 Richmond Tigers v Geelong Cats 64–103 12% / 88% 0.027 0.014 0.124
2025-08-23 West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans 51–118 15% / 85% 0.042 0.021 0.157
2025-08-24 Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks 89–79 64% / 36% 0.254 0.127 0.440
2025-08-24 GWS Giants v St Kilda Saints 104–93 77% / 23% 0.103 0.052 0.257
2025-08-24 Western Bulldogs v Fremantle Dockers 97–112 62% / 38% 0.768 0.384 0.966
2025-08-27 Gold Coast Suns v Essendon Bombers 153–58 82% / 18% 0.067 0.034 0.203
2025-09-04 Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies 55–79 63% / 37% 0.788 0.394 0.988
2025-09-05 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 112–74 51% / 49% 0.472 0.236 0.666
2025-09-06 Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns 79–80 64% / 36% 0.810 0.405 1.012
2025-09-06 GWS Giants v Hawthorn Hawks 88–107 57% / 43% 0.650 0.325 0.844
2025-09-12 Adelaide Crows v Hawthorn Hawks 67–101 54% / 46% 0.583 0.292 0.777
2025-09-13 Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns 100–47 68% / 32% 0.208 0.104 0.389
2025-09-19 Geelong Cats v Hawthorn Hawks 115–85 60% / 40% 0.328 0.164 0.519
2025-09-20 Collingwood Magpies v Brisbane Lions 71–100 51% / 49% 0.524 0.262 0.717
2025-09-27 Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions 75–122 51% / 49% 0.528 0.264 0.722
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